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Super League
Aris
S S U S T
3–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aris Asteras Tripolis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 17%
17%
17%
Average goals
2,2
2,2
Scored
1,8
0,8
Conceded
0,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-0,5
This season — Super League · 16/17 matches
Win Ø 31%
44%
18%
Points per game
1,6
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
38%
29%
Both score Ø 30%
31%
29%
Average goals
2,2
2,1
Scored
1,4
0,8
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

13 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 2
4 Corners 8
14 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aris 7. · Asteras Tripolis 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Panathinaikos 17 14 3 0 +22 45
2 PAOK 19 11 6 2 +16 39
3 AEK 17 12 2 3 +26 38
4 Olympiakos 18 10 5 3 +20 35
5 Volos NFC 18 8 5 5 -4 29
6 Aris Thessalonikis 16 7 4 5 +9 25
7 Aris 16 7 4 5 +9 25
8 Atromitos 18 6 5 7 +0 23
9 Panetolikos 18 6 4 8 +1 22
10 Asteras Tripolis 17 3 8 6 -7 17
11 Giannina 18 4 5 9 -17 17
12 OFI Crete 17 2 7 8 -12 13
13 Levadeiakos 19 2 6 11 -15 12
14 Lamia 18 1 7 10 -28 10
15 Ionikos 18 1 5 12 -20 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,57
U
3,84
B
5,75
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,14
U2,5
1,68
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.