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Eredivisie

Referee: J Manschot

Nijmegen

T T U S T

0–1

Full-time

Ajax

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nijmegen Ajax

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

17%

83%

Points per game

0,7

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

67%

100%

Both score Ø 84%

67%

100%

Average goals

3,5

4,2

Scored

1,2

2,5

Conceded

2,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,8

This season — Eredivisie · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 55%

31%

79%

Points per game

1,2

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

48%

69%

Both score Ø 43%

55%

31%

Average goals

2,8

3,4

Scored

1,2

2,9

Conceded

1,6

0,5

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+2,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

33% Possession 67%

8 Shots 17

2 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 8

1 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nijmegen 10. · Ajax 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	29	23	3	3	+70	72
2	PSV Eindhoven	29	22	2	5	+39	68
3	Feyenoord	29	19	4	6	+39	61
4	Twente	30	18	7	5	+15	61
5	AZ Alkmaar	26	15	3	8	+17	48
6	Utrecht	27	11	8	8	+9	41
7	Vitesse	25	12	3	10	-8	39
8	Groningen	29	9	9	11	-6	36
9	Go Ahead Eagles	29	10	6	13	-8	36
10	Nijmegen	29	9	8	12	-11	35
11	Heerenveen	28	9	7	12	-8	34
12	Cambuur	29	10	3	16	-17	33
13	Heracles	29	8	6	15	-11	30
14	Waalwijk	29	6	10	13	-15	28
15	For Sittard	29	7	5	17	-31	26
16	Sparta Rotterdam	30	5	10	15	-23	25
17	Zwolle	29	6	5	18	-22	23
18	Willem II	29	6	5	18	-29	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	15	12	1	2	+46	37
2	PSV Eindhoven	15	12	0	3	+24	36
3	Feyenoord	14	10	2	2	+22	32
4	Twente	15	9	5	1	+13	32
5	AZ Alkmaar	13	9	2	2	+15	29
6	Utrecht	14	7	4	3	+11	25
7	Heracles	15	7	4	4	+3	25
8	Go Ahead Eagles	15	7	1	7	+3	22
9	Groningen	14	4	6	4	+0	18
10	Heerenveen	14	5	2	7	-3	17
11	For Sittard	14	5	2	7	-9	17
12	Cambuur	14	5	1	8	-5	16
13	Vitesse	13	5	1	7	-9	16
14	Sparta Rotterdam	15	3	6	6	-7	15
15	Willem II	14	4	3	7	-8	15
16	Waalwijk	14	4	3	7	-10	15
17	Zwolle	15	3	4	8	-6	13
18	Nijmegen	14	2	5	7	-8	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	14	11	2	1	+24	35
2	PSV Eindhoven	14	10	2	2	+15	32
3	Feyenoord	15	9	2	4	+17	29
4	Twente	15	9	2	4	+2	29
5	Nijmegen	15	7	3	5	-3	24
6	Vitesse	12	7	2	3	+1	23
7	AZ Alkmaar	13	6	1	6	+2	19
8	Groningen	15	5	3	7	-6	18
9	Heerenveen	14	4	5	5	-5	17
10	Cambuur	15	5	2	8	-12	17
11	Utrecht	13	4	4	5	-2	16
12	Go Ahead Eagles	14	3	5	6	-11	14
13	Waalwijk	15	2	7	6	-5	13
14	Zwolle	14	3	1	10	-16	10
15	Sparta Rotterdam	15	2	4	9	-16	10
16	For Sittard	15	2	3	10	-22	9
17	Willem II	15	2	2	11	-21	8
18	Heracles	14	1	2	11	-14	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.