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La Liga
Referee: Isidro Díaz de Mera
Vallecano
U S U U T
1–2
Full-time
Betis
S U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vallecano Betis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,8
This season — La Liga · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 44%
40%
47%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
53%
47%
Both score Ø 50%
60%
40%
Average goals
2,7
1,9
Scored
1,5
1,1
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

62% Possession 38%
15 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 7
4 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Vallecano 8. · Betis 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 15 12 2 1 +28 38
2 Real Madrid 16 12 2 2 +20 38
3 Sociedad 16 10 2 4 +6 32
4 Ath Madrid 15 8 3 4 +9 27
5 Villarreal 16 8 3 5 +7 27
6 Ath Bilbao 15 7 4 4 +10 25
7 Betis 15 7 4 4 +5 25
8 Vallecano 15 6 5 4 +4 23
9 Osasuna 15 7 2 6 +0 23
10 Mallorca 16 6 4 6 -1 22
11 Valencia 16 5 4 7 +5 19
12 Girona 16 4 6 6 -2 18
13 Getafe 15 4 5 6 -6 17
14 Almeria 16 5 2 9 -8 17
15 Valladolid 16 5 2 9 -11 17
16 Celta 16 4 4 8 -11 16
17 Cadiz 16 3 6 7 -16 15
18 Espanol 16 2 8 6 -6 14
19 Sevilla 15 2 6 7 -9 12
20 Elche 16 0 4 12 -24 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Vallecano Betis
7′
I. Balliu 1–0
own goal
2–0 Sergio Camello
20′
40′
Luiz Henrique 2–1
N. Fekir
Half-time 2–1
46′
🔁 G. Rodríguez
↦ A. Guardado
Álvaro García 🟨
51′
53′
🟨 William Carvalho
Óscar Trejo 🟨
57′
Santi Comesaña 🔁
↦ Unai López
62′
Raúl de Tomás 🔁
↦ Ó. Trejo
62′
Isi Palazón ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
65′
68′
🔁 Willian José
↦ Borja Iglesias
74′
🔁 Rodri
↦ Sergio Canales
R. Nteka 🔁
↦ Fran García
79′
82′
🟨 Luiz Henrique
Óscar Valentín 🟨
83′
Andrés Martín 🔁
↦ Óscar Valentín
89′
R. Falcao 🔁
↦ Isi Palazón
90′
90′
🔁 Víctor Ruiz
↦ Luiz Henrique
90′
🔁 Juanmi
↦ N. Fekir
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Vallecano

4-4-1-1
1 S. Dimitrievski G
20 I. Balliu D
19 F. Lejeune D
5 Catena D
3 Fran García D
7 Isi Palazón M
23 Óscar Valentín M
17 Unai López M
18 Álvaro García M
8 Ó. Trejo F
34 Sergio Camello F
Bench (12)
6 Santi Comesaña
25 Raúl de Tomás
11 R. Nteka
12 Andrés Martín
9 R. Falcao
16 A. Mumin
13 Diego López
2 Mario Hernández
22 José Ángel Pozo
21 P. Ciss
14 Salvi
15 Pep Chavarría

Coach: Andoni Iraola

Betis

4-2-3-1
13 Rui Silva G
24 Aitor Ruibal D
16 G. Pezzella D
3 Edgar González D
15 Álex Moreno D
14 William Carvalho M
18 A. Guardado M
11 Luiz Henrique M
8 N. Fekir M
10 Sergio Canales M
9 Borja Iglesias F
Bench (12)
5 G. Rodríguez
12 Willian José
28 Rodri
6 Víctor Ruiz
7 Juanmi
2 Martín Montoya
21 Loren Morón
25 Dani Martín
33 Juan Miranda
1 C. Bravo
17 Joaquín
35 Félix Garreta

Coach: M. Pellegrini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,34
U
3,28
B ✓
3,22
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,25
U2,5
1,66
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Isidro Díaz de Mera · 82 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.