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Eredivisie

Referee: A Lindhout

Ajax

S S T S T

2–2

Full-time

Vitesse

T S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax Vitesse

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

4,8

3,3

Scored

2,8

1,3

Conceded

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,7

This season — Eredivisie · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 50%

75%

25%

Points per game

2,3

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

75%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

4,3

3,3

Scored

3,3

1,1

Conceded

1,0

2,2

Goal diff per game

+2,3

-1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

71% Possession 29%

34 Shots 10

8 Shots on target 8

7 Blocked shots 0

6 Goalkeeper saves 6

8 Corners 7

1 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ajax 2. · Vitesse 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	13	10	0	3	+23	30
2	Ajax	12	9	1	2	+27	28
3	Feyenoord	12	8	3	1	+17	27
4	Twente	12	8	2	2	+16	26
5	AZ Alkmaar	13	8	2	3	+8	26
6	Sparta Rotterdam	12	7	2	3	+11	23
7	Utrecht	12	5	3	4	-4	18
8	Waalwijk	13	4	5	4	+2	17
9	Heerenveen	12	4	5	3	+1	17
10	Nijmegen	13	2	8	3	-2	14
11	Go Ahead Eagles	13	3	5	5	-3	14
12	Excelsior	13	4	1	8	-17	13
13	For Sittard	13	3	3	7	-8	12
14	Groningen	13	3	3	7	-11	12
15	Vitesse	12	3	2	7	-13	11
16	FC Emmen	13	2	4	7	-14	10
17	Cambuur	12	2	2	8	-11	8
18	Volendam	13	1	3	9	-22	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Twente	7	6	1	0	+17	19
2	PSV Eindhoven	6	6	0	0	+19	18
3	Sparta Rotterdam	7	5	0	2	+9	15
4	Ajax	6	4	1	1	+19	13
5	Feyenoord	5	3	2	0	+9	11
6	Waalwijk	7	3	2	2	+5	11
7	AZ Alkmaar	6	3	2	1	+2	11
8	Excelsior	6	3	0	3	-3	9
9	Go Ahead Eagles	7	2	2	3	-1	8
10	Utrecht	6	2	2	2	-1	8
11	Groningen	6	2	1	3	-2	7
12	FC Emmen	6	1	4	1	-2	7
13	For Sittard	7	2	1	4	-3	7
14	Nijmegen	6	0	5	1	-1	5
15	Heerenveen	5	1	2	2	-1	5
16	Vitesse	7	1	2	4	-11	5
17	Cambuur	7	1	0	6	-6	3
18	Volendam	6	1	0	5	-9	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	7	5	1	1	+8	16
2	Ajax	6	5	0	1	+8	15
3	AZ Alkmaar	7	5	0	2	+6	15
4	PSV Eindhoven	7	4	0	3	+4	12
5	Heerenveen	7	3	3	1	+2	12
6	Utrecht	6	3	1	2	-3	10
7	Nijmegen	7	2	3	2	-1	9
8	Sparta Rotterdam	5	2	2	1	+2	8
9	Twente	5	2	1	2	-1	7
10	Go Ahead Eagles	6	1	3	2	-2	6
11	Vitesse	5	2	0	3	-2	6
12	Waalwijk	6	1	3	2	-3	6
13	For Sittard	6	1	2	3	-5	5
14	Cambuur	5	1	2	2	-5	5
15	Groningen	7	1	2	4	-9	5
16	Excelsior	7	1	1	5	-14	4
17	FC Emmen	7	1	0	6	-12	3
18	Volendam	7	0	3	4	-13	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.