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La Liga

Referee: José Munuera

Ath Madrid

T S S S S

0–1

Full-time

Barcelona

S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Barcelona

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

67%

83%

Points per game

2,2

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,2

3,5

Scored

1,7

2,3

Conceded

0,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,2

This season — La Liga · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 67%

53%

80%

Points per game

1,8

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

40%

60%

Both score Ø 40%

53%

27%

Average goals

2,5

2,7

Scored

1,5

2,3

Conceded

0,9

0,4

Goal diff per game

+0,6

+1,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

41% Possession 59%

20 Shots 10

5 Shots on target 2

7 Blocked shots 5

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 4

2 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 1

The table before the match Ath Madrid 5. · Barcelona 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	15	12	2	1	+28	38
2	Real Madrid	16	12	2	2	+20	38
3	Sociedad	16	10	2	4	+6	32
4	Betis	16	8	4	4	+6	28
5	Ath Madrid	15	8	3	4	+9	27
6	Villarreal	16	8	3	5	+7	27
7	Ath Bilbao	15	7	4	4	+10	25
8	Vallecano	16	6	5	5	+3	23
9	Osasuna	15	7	2	6	+0	23
10	Mallorca	16	6	4	6	-1	22
11	Valencia	16	5	4	7	+5	19
12	Girona	16	4	6	6	-2	18
13	Getafe	16	4	5	7	-7	17
14	Almeria	16	5	2	9	-8	17
15	Valladolid	16	5	2	9	-11	17
16	Celta	16	4	4	8	-11	16
17	Sevilla	16	3	6	7	-8	15
18	Cadiz	16	3	6	7	-16	15
19	Espanol	16	2	8	6	-6	14
20	Elche	16	0	4	12	-24	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	8	6	2	0	+17	20
2	Real Madrid	7	5	2	0	+9	17
3	Betis	8	5	2	1	+7	17
4	Ath Bilbao	8	5	1	2	+8	16
5	Villarreal	7	5	1	1	+7	16
6	Almeria	8	5	0	3	+3	15
7	Osasuna	8	5	0	3	+3	15
8	Vallecano	8	4	2	2	+4	14
9	Sociedad	8	4	2	2	+0	14
10	Valencia	9	4	1	4	+7	13
11	Valladolid	8	4	1	3	+0	13
12	Girona	8	3	3	2	+1	12
13	Ath Madrid	7	3	2	2	+3	11
14	Mallorca	8	3	2	3	+0	11
15	Celta	8	2	3	3	-1	9
16	Getafe	8	2	3	3	-2	9
17	Cadiz	8	1	4	3	-8	7
18	Espanol	8	1	3	4	-5	6
19	Sevilla	8	1	3	4	-6	6
20	Elche	8	0	2	6	-10	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	9	7	0	2	+11	21
2	Barcelona	7	6	0	1	+11	18
3	Sociedad	8	6	0	2	+6	18
4	Ath Madrid	8	5	1	2	+6	16
5	Villarreal	9	3	2	4	+0	11
6	Mallorca	8	3	2	3	-1	11
7	Betis	8	3	2	3	-1	11
8	Ath Bilbao	7	2	3	2	+2	9
9	Vallecano	8	2	3	3	-1	9
10	Sevilla	8	2	3	3	-2	9
11	Espanol	8	1	5	2	-1	8
12	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	-3	8
13	Getafe	8	2	2	4	-5	8
14	Cadiz	8	2	2	4	-8	8
15	Celta	8	2	1	5	-10	7
16	Valencia	7	1	3	3	-2	6
17	Girona	8	1	3	4	-3	6
18	Valladolid	8	1	1	6	-11	4
19	Almeria	8	0	2	6	-11	2
20	Elche	8	0	2	6	-14	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.