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Serie A
Referee: A Colombo
Salernitana
S U T T T
1–1
Full-time
Torino
S T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salernitana Torino
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,5
This season — Serie A · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 32%
25%
38%
Points per game
1,1
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
69%
44%
Both score Ø 60%
56%
63%
Average goals
2,9
2,2
Scored
1,3
1,1
Conceded
1,6
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

38% Possession 62%
11 Shots 23
4 Shots on target 8
4 Blocked shots 7
7 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 7
1 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Salernitana 15. · Torino 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Napoli 16 13 2 1 +24 41
2 Juventus 17 11 4 2 +19 37
3 Milan 16 11 3 2 +15 36
4 Inter 17 11 1 5 +13 34
5 Lazio 16 9 3 4 +14 30
6 Roma 16 9 3 4 +5 30
7 Atalanta 16 8 4 4 +7 28
8 Udinese 17 6 7 4 +6 25
9 Fiorentina 17 6 5 6 -1 23
10 Torino 16 6 4 6 -1 22
11 Bologna 16 5 4 7 -6 19
12 Lecce 16 4 6 6 -2 18
13 Monza 17 5 3 9 -6 18
14 Empoli 16 4 6 6 -7 18
15 Salernitana 16 4 5 7 -6 17
16 Sassuolo 17 4 4 9 -9 16
17 Spezia 16 3 5 8 -12 14
18 Sampdoria 16 2 3 11 -20 9
19 Cremonese 16 0 7 9 -16 7
20 Verona 16 1 3 12 -17 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Salernitana Torino
Antonio Candreva 🟨
22′
25′
🟨 Karol Linetty
36′
A. Sanabria 0–1
V. Lazaro
Half-time 0–1
K. Piątek 🔁
↦ E. Bohinen
46′
1–1 T. Vilhena
49′
51′
🟨 Saša Lukić
53′
🔁 S. Ricci
↦ K. Linetty
63′
🔁 A. Miranchuk
↦ N. Radonjić
64′
🔁 W. Singo
↦ M. Vojvoda
64′
🔁 K. Djidji
↦ D. Zima
Flavius Daniliuc 🟨
68′
72′
🔁 R. Rodríguez
↦ V. Lazaro
L. Pirola 🔁
↦ D. Bradarić
76′
N. Gyömbér 🔁
↦ F. Daniliuc
76′
77′
🟨 Koffi Djidji
D. Valencia 🔁
↦ B. Dia
85′
E. Botheim 🔁
↦ F. Bonazzoli
90′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Salernitana

3-1-4-2
13 G. Ochoa G
2 D. Bronn D
5 F. Daniliuc D
17 F. Fazio D
8 E. Bohinen M
87 A. Candreva M
41 H. Nicolussi M
10 T. Vilhena M
3 D. Bradarić M
9 F. Bonazzoli F
29 B. Dia F
Bench (13)
99 K. Piątek
98 L. Pirola
23 N. Gyömbér
14 D. Valencia
11 E. Botheim
66 M. Lovato
28 L. Capezzi
1 V. Fiorillo
16 I. Radovanović
20 G. Kastanos
6 J. Sambia
71 J. De Matteis
39 A. Iervolino

Coach: D. Nicola

Torino

3-4-2-1
32 V. Milinković-Savić G
6 D. Zima D
3 P. Schuurs D
4 A. Buongiorno D
19 V. Lazaro M
10 S. Lukić M
77 K. Linetty M
27 M. Vojvoda M
16 N. Vlašić F
49 N. Radonjić F
9 A. Sanabria F
Bench (12)
28 S. Ricci
59 A. Miranchuk
17 W. Singo
26 K. Djidji
13 R. Rodríguez
2 B. Bayeye
21 M. Adopo
66 G. Gineitis
89 L. Gemello
23 D. Seck
1 E. Berisha
7 Y. Karamoh

Coach: I. Juric

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,67
U ✓
3,26
B
2,15
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,16
U2,5 ✓
1,70
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Colombo · 84 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.