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Eredivisie

Referee: D Makkelie

PSV Eindhoven

S S S S S

1–2

Full-time

Ajax

S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven Ajax

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 83%

83%

Points per game

2,7

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

3,0

3,2

Scored

2,3

2,8

Conceded

0,7

0,3

Goal diff per game

+1,7

+2,5

This season — Eredivisie · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 77%

79%

74%

Points per game

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 66%

74%

58%

Both score Ø 37%

63%

11%

Average goals

3,7

3,3

Scored

2,5

3,1

Conceded

1,3

0,2

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+2,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

43% Possession 57%

10 Shots 15

4 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 5

15 Free kicks against 17

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match PSV Eindhoven 1. · Ajax 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	19	15	1	3	+23	46
2	Ajax	19	14	3	2	+55	45
3	Feyenoord	20	13	3	4	+27	42
4	Twente	20	11	5	4	+9	38
5	AZ Alkmaar	18	10	2	6	+11	32
6	Vitesse	18	10	2	6	-2	32
7	Cambuur	20	9	3	8	-7	30
8	Utrecht	18	8	5	5	+8	29
9	Nijmegen	20	7	5	8	-5	26
10	Heerenveen	19	7	4	8	-6	25
11	Groningen	20	5	7	8	-6	22
12	Go Ahead Eagles	19	6	3	10	-12	21
13	Heracles	19	5	4	10	-5	19
14	Waalwijk	19	4	7	8	-9	19
15	Willem II	20	5	3	12	-21	18
16	Sparta Rotterdam	19	2	8	9	-12	14
17	For Sittard	19	3	4	12	-28	13
18	Zwolle	20	3	3	14	-20	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	9	8	0	1	+15	24
2	AZ Alkmaar	10	7	2	1	+14	23
3	Ajax	10	7	1	2	+35	22
4	Feyenoord	10	7	1	2	+14	22
5	Utrecht	10	6	3	1	+13	21
6	Twente	9	5	3	1	+6	18
7	Heracles	10	5	2	3	+3	17
8	Cambuur	10	4	1	5	-3	13
9	Go Ahead Eagles	10	4	0	6	-2	12
10	Heerenveen	10	3	2	5	-5	11
11	Vitesse	8	3	1	4	-6	10
12	Waalwijk	9	3	1	5	-8	10
13	Willem II	10	3	1	6	-9	10
14	Groningen	9	1	6	2	+0	9
15	Nijmegen	10	2	3	5	-4	9
16	Sparta Rotterdam	10	1	5	4	-5	8
17	Zwolle	10	2	2	6	-5	8
18	For Sittard	9	2	2	5	-12	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	9	7	2	0	+20	23
2	PSV Eindhoven	10	7	1	2	+8	22
3	Vitesse	10	7	1	2	+4	22
4	Feyenoord	10	6	2	2	+13	20
5	Twente	11	6	2	3	+3	20
6	Nijmegen	10	5	2	3	-1	17
7	Cambuur	10	5	2	3	-4	17
8	Heerenveen	9	4	2	3	-1	14
9	Groningen	11	4	1	6	-6	13
10	Waalwijk	10	1	6	3	-1	9
11	AZ Alkmaar	8	3	0	5	-3	9
12	Go Ahead Eagles	9	2	3	4	-10	9
13	Utrecht	8	2	2	4	-5	8
14	Willem II	10	2	2	6	-12	8
15	Sparta Rotterdam	9	1	3	5	-7	6
16	For Sittard	10	1	2	7	-16	5
17	Zwolle	10	1	1	8	-15	4
18	Heracles	9	0	2	7	-8	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.