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Süper Lig
Referee: Suat Arslanboga
Denizlispor
T T U T T
1–0
Full-time
Alanyaspor
S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Denizlispor Alanyaspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,0
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
2,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,3
This season — Süper Lig · 11/12 matches
Win Ø 38%
9%
67%
Points per game
0,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
45%
33%
Both score Ø 44%
45%
42%
Average goals
2,8
2,4
Scored
0,9
1,8
Conceded
1,9
0,6
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

19% Possession 81%
5 Shots 17
2 Shots on target 7
0 Blocked shots 4
7 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 8
1 Offside 2
25 Free kicks against 15
8 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Denizlispor 21. · Alanyaspor 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Alanyaspor 12 8 2 2 +15 26
2 Galatasaray 12 7 2 3 +11 23
3 Fenerbahce 13 7 2 4 +4 23
4 Gaziantep 12 5 6 1 +5 21
5 Hatayspor 12 6 3 3 -1 21
6 Karagumruk 13 5 5 3 +6 20
7 Yeni Malatyaspor 12 5 4 3 +3 19
8 Besiktas 11 6 1 4 +2 19
9 Goztep 13 4 6 3 +5 18
10 Kasimpasa 13 5 3 5 -1 18
11 Trabzonspor 13 4 5 4 -2 17
12 Konyaspor 11 4 3 4 +4 15
13 Buyuksehyr 12 4 3 5 +0 15
14 Rizespor 12 4 3 5 -3 15
15 Antalyaspor 12 3 5 4 -4 14
16 Genclerbirligi 12 3 3 6 -8 12
17 Sivasspor 11 2 5 4 -3 11
18 Kayserispor 11 2 4 5 -6 10
19 Ankaragücü 12 2 3 7 -6 9
20 Erzurumspor 12 2 3 7 -10 9
21 Denizlispor 11 1 3 7 -11 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Denizlispor Alanyaspor
1–0 H. Rodallega
9′
Fabiano 🟨
13′
Recep Niyaz 🟨
23′
Muris Mešanovič 🟨
31′
Angelo Sagal 🟨
41′
41′
🟨 Adam Bareiro
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 E. Karaca
↦ B. Kutlu
Radosław Murawski 🟨
51′
51′
🟨 Anastasios Bakasetas
Radosław Murawski 🟨
71′
Radosław Murawski 🟥
71′
72′
🔁 M. Pektemek
↦ E. Siopis
M. Özkal 🔁
↦ H. Rodallega
79′
H. Sacko 🔁
↦ M. Mešanović
79′
80′
🔁 E. Bekiroglu
↦ S. Uçan
Ö. Özdemir 🔁
↦ R. Niyaz
88′
Hadi Sacko 🟨
89′
Cenk Gönen 🟨
90′
F. Varela 🔁
↦ I. Aissati
94′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Denizlispor

4-1-4-1
19 C. Gönen G
22 M. Yumlu D
21 Z. Bergdich D
2 Tiago Lopes D
91 Fabiano D
10 I. Aissati M
20 R. Niyaz M
8 R. Murawski M
7 H. Rodallega F
11 M. Mešanović M
28 Á. Sagal M
Bench (9)
3 M. Özkal
9 H. Sacko
76 Ö. Özdemir
24 F. Varela
4 N. Subotić
94 M. Kıryolcu
88 A. Kalkan
65 M. Sarıkuş
1 H. Altıntaş

Coach: Y. Koşukavak

Alanyaspor

4-2-3-1
28 Marafona G
31 G. Tzavellas D
44 S. Caulker D
24 Juanfran D
8 S. Uçan M
26 E. Siopis M
75 T. Bingöl D
22 B. Kutlu M
11 A. Bakasetas M
91 Davidson M
9 A. Bareiro F
Bench (9)
7 E. Karaca
19 M. Pektemek
23 E. Bekiroglu
5 F. Aksoy
20 H. Ayaroğlu
13 A. Güney
27 U. Güneş
4 A. Çelebi
21 F. Moubandje

Coach: S. Tokatlı

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
4,21
U
3,65
B
1,80
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,86
U2,5 ✓
1,93
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Suat Arslanboga · 15 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.