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Ligue 1

Referee: B Millot

Brest

S S T S U

2–2

Full-time

Montpellier

S S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brest Montpellier

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,2

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,3

3,5

Scored

2,2

1,8

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,2

This season — Ligue 1 · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 50%

47%

53%

Points per game

1,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

73%

60%

Both score Ø 60%

60%

Average goals

3,5

3,2

Scored

1,7

Conceded

1,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

55% Possession 45%

17 Shots 10

7 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

6 Corners 4

1 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Brest 11. · Montpellier 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lyon	16	9	6	1	+17	33
2	Lille	15	9	5	1	+18	32
3	Paris SG	15	10	1	4	+25	31
4	Marseille	14	8	4	2	+8	28
5	Montpellier	15	8	2	5	+2	26
6	Rennes	15	7	4	4	+3	25
7	Lens	15	7	3	5	+1	24
8	Metz	16	6	5	5	+3	23
9	Monaco	15	7	2	6	+2	23
10	Angers	15	7	2	6	-4	23
11	Brest	15	7	1	7	-2	22
12	Nice	15	6	3	6	-1	21
13	Bordeaux	15	5	4	6	-2	19
14	St Etienne	15	4	4	7	-7	16
15	Strasbourg	15	4	2	9	-4	14
16	Reims	16	3	5	8	-6	14
17	Nantes	15	3	5	7	-9	14
18	Lorient	15	3	2	10	-11	11
19	Nimes	15	3	2	10	-18	11
20	Dijon	15	1	6	8	-15	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	8	6	2	0	+13	20
2	Monaco	8	5	2	1	+7	17
3	Paris SG	8	5	1	2	+13	16
4	Lyon	7	4	3	0	+10	15
5	Brest	7	5	0	2	+3	15
6	Metz	8	4	1	3	+2	13
7	Rennes	8	4	1	3	+0	13
8	Marseille	7	3	3	1	+3	12
9	Bordeaux	8	3	3	2	+3	12
10	Montpellier	8	4	0	4	-2	12
11	Lens	7	3	2	2	+1	11
12	Angers	8	3	1	4	-4	10
13	Nantes	7	2	3	2	-4	9
14	St Etienne	7	2	2	3	-2	8
15	Lorient	7	2	1	4	+0	7
16	Reims	7	2	1	4	-4	7
17	Nice	8	2	1	5	-8	7
18	Strasbourg	7	1	2	4	-6	5
19	Dijon	8	0	4	4	-6	4
20	Nimes	8	1	1	6	-11	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lyon	9	5	3	1	+7	18
2	Marseille	7	5	1	1	+5	16
3	Paris SG	7	5	0	2	+12	15
4	Nice	7	4	2	1	+7	14
5	Montpellier	7	4	2	1	+4	14
6	Angers	7	4	1	2	+0	13
7	Lens	8	4	1	3	+0	13
8	Lille	7	3	3	1	+5	12
9	Rennes	7	3	3	1	+3	12
10	Metz	8	2	4	2	+1	10
11	Strasbourg	8	3	0	5	+2	9
12	St Etienne	8	2	2	4	-5	8
13	Reims	9	1	4	4	-2	7
14	Brest	8	2	1	5	-5	7
15	Bordeaux	7	2	1	4	-5	7
16	Nimes	7	2	1	4	-7	7
17	Monaco	7	2	0	5	-5	6
18	Nantes	8	1	2	5	-5	5
19	Dijon	7	1	2	4	-9	5
20	Lorient	8	1	1	6	-11	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.