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Super League
Referee: T Bognár
PAOK
S S S T T
2–1
Full-time
Panathinaikos
T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PAOK Panathinaikos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,2
1,8
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
0,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,5
This season — Super League · 12/13 matches
Win Ø 48%
58%
38%
Points per game
2,0
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 28%
33%
23%
Both score Ø 40%
42%
38%
Average goals
2,1
1,8
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
0,6
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

57% Possession 43%
12 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 1
2 Offside 3
21 Free kicks against 21
6 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match PAOK 4. · Panathinaikos 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 13 11 2 0 +29 35
2 Aris Thessalonikis 12 9 2 1 +13 29
3 Aris 12 9 2 1 +13 29
4 PAOK 12 7 3 2 +11 24
5 AEK 11 7 2 2 +10 23
6 Panathinaikos 13 5 3 5 +2 18
7 Asteras Tripolis 13 4 4 5 -2 16
8 Volos NFC 13 3 6 4 -4 15
9 Atromitos 13 3 6 4 -6 15
10 OFI Crete 14 4 3 7 -9 15
11 Giannina 13 3 4 6 -2 13
12 Apollon 13 3 3 7 -5 12
13 Panetolikos 14 1 5 8 -11 8
14 Larisa 13 1 3 9 -18 6
15 Lamia 11 0 2 9 -21 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

PAOK Panathinaikos
6′
🟨 Aitor Cantalapiedra
1–0 K. Świderski
D. Giannoulis
11′
16′
Aitor Cantalapiedra 1–1
F. Macheda
Ioannis Michailidis 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–1
Dimitrios Giannoulis 🟨
56′
Vieirinha 🟨
58′
Karol Świderski 🟨
61′
61′
🟨 Federico Macheda
2–1 S. Ingason
K. Świderski
65′
S. Schwab 🔁
↦ T. Murg
72′
72′
🔁 Carlitos López
↦ L. Villafáñez
73′
🔁 F. Ioannidis
↦ F. Macheda
82′
🔁 D. Emmanouilidis
↦ Aitor Cantalapiedra
82′
🔁 S. Alexandropoulos
↦ A. Poungouras
José Crespo 🔁
↦ Vieirinha
83′
A. Čolak 🔁
↦ K. Świderski
83′
José Ángel Crespo 🟨
85′
Stefan Schwab 🟨
86′
A. Esiti 🔁
↦ Douglas
89′
89′
🔁 I. Bouzoukis
↦ F. Sánchez
A. Pereira 🔁
↦ C. Tzolis
90′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

PAOK

4-2-3-1
31 A. Paschalakis G
4 S. Ingason D
23 D. Giannoulis D
49 I. Michailidis D
20 Vieirinha M
7 O. El Kaddouri M
10 T. Murg M
14 A. Živković M
33 Douglas M
9 K. Świderski F
11 C. Tzolis F
Bench (9)
22 S. Schwab
15 José Crespo
25 A. Čolak
24 A. Esiti
16 A. Pereira
32 N. Ninua
19 E. Lyratzis
70 G. Koutsias
88 Ž. Živković

Coach: P. García

Panathinaikos

4-2-3-1
15 V. Xenopoulos G
14 F. Sánchez D
5 B. Schenkeveld D
4 Fran Vélez D
3 Juan Carlos D
44 A. Poungouras D
19 L. Villafáñez M
88 Maurício M
11 T. Chatzigiovanis M
9 F. Macheda F
22 Aitor Cantalapiedra F
Bench (9)
10 Carlitos López
27 F. Ioannidis
17 D. Emmanouilidis
55 S. Alexandropoulos
18 I. Bouzoukis
47 V. Zagaritis
77 S. Tzavidas
24 T. Mavromatis
68 N. Christogeorgos

Coach: L. Bölöni

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,61
U
3,70
B
5,33
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,25
U2,5
1,61
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

T Bognár · 19 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.