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Süper Lig
Referee: Halil Umut Meler
Besiktas
T S S S T
4–0
Full-time
Erzurumspor
T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Besiktas Erzurumspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,0
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,8
2,2
Scored
2,2
0,5
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,2
This season — Süper Lig · 11/12 matches
Win Ø 36%
55%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
73%
58%
Both score Ø 66%
73%
58%
Average goals
3,6
2,7
Scored
1,9
0,9
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

60% Possession 40%
14 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
10 Corners 6
3 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 18
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Besiktas 8. · Erzurumspor 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Alanyaspor 13 8 2 3 +14 26
2 Galatasaray 12 7 2 3 +11 23
3 Fenerbahce 13 7 2 4 +4 23
4 Gaziantep 12 5 6 1 +5 21
5 Hatayspor 12 6 3 3 -1 21
6 Karagumruk 13 5 5 3 +6 20
7 Yeni Malatyaspor 12 5 4 3 +3 19
8 Besiktas 11 6 1 4 +2 19
9 Goztep 13 4 6 3 +5 18
10 Kasimpasa 13 5 3 5 -1 18
11 Trabzonspor 13 4 5 4 -2 17
12 Konyaspor 11 4 3 4 +4 15
13 Buyuksehyr 12 4 3 5 +0 15
14 Rizespor 12 4 3 5 -3 15
15 Antalyaspor 12 3 5 4 -4 14
16 Genclerbirligi 12 3 3 6 -8 12
17 Sivasspor 11 2 5 4 -3 11
18 Kayserispor 11 2 4 5 -6 10
19 Ankaragücü 12 2 3 7 -6 9
20 Erzurumspor 12 2 3 7 -10 9
21 Denizlispor 12 2 3 7 -10 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Besiktas Erzurumspor
Bernard Mensah 🟨
12′
36′
🟨 İbrahim Akdağ
Necip Uysal 🟨
38′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 R. Muhammed
↦ A. Novikovas
1–0 V. Aboubakar
59′
2–0 G. N'Koudou
B. Mensah
63′
69′
🔁 A. Sadiku
↦ İ. Akdağ
69′
🔁 E. Başsan
↦ Ö. Şişmanoğlu
3–0 D. Vida
R. Ghezzal
69′
4–0 V. Aboubakar
A. Hutchinson
71′
C. Larin 🔁
↦ G. NKoudou
73′
D. Toköz 🔁
↦ B. Mensah
73′
O. Özyakup 🔁
↦ A. Hutchinson
76′
Domagoj Vida 🟨
78′
79′
🟨 Rashad Muhammed
80′
🔁 I. Sissoko
↦ Ricardo Gomes
A. Üner 🔁
↦ R. Ghezzal
81′
G. Yalçın 🔁
↦ V. Aboubakar
81′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Besiktas

4-1-4-1
30 E. Destanoğlu G
24 D. Vida D
23 Welinton D
33 R. Yılmaz D
13 A. Hutchinson M
5 Josef de Souza M
20 N. Uysal D
18 R. Ghezzal M
7 G. N'Koudou M
43 B. Mensah M
14 V. Aboubakar F
Bench (10)
17 C. Larin
26 D. Toköz
10 O. Özyakup
27 A. Üner
9 G. Yalçın
61 E. Bilgin
4 Javi Montero
41 K. Yılmaz
19 A. Hasić
21 F. N'Sakala

Coach: S. Yalçın

Erzurumspor

4-1-4-1
85 F. Farnolle G
6 K. Kanak D
5 H. Hatipoğlu D
4 G. Obertan M
20 M. Donald M
11 A. Novikovas M
19 İ. Akdağ M
77 M. Uçar D
88 O. Çelik D
7 Ö. Şişmanoğlu M
91 Ricardo Gomes F
Bench (10)
9 R. Muhammed
25 A. Sadiku
17 E. Başsan
3 I. Sissoko
22 L. Schwechlen
10 J. Hamroun
99 C. Alkılıç
61 O. Karakullukçu
23 G. Kardeş
33 K. Erdoğan

Coach: H. Çimşir

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,50
U
4,42
B
5,66
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,56
U2,5
2,37
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Halil Umut Meler · 39 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.