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Eredivisie
Referee: Paulus van Boekel
Ajax
U S S S S
0–0
Full-time
Den Haag
U T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax Den Haag
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
2,0
1,5
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,5
This season — Eredivisie · 24/22 matches
Win Ø 58%
75%
41%
Points per game
2,4
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
79%
59%
Both score Ø 59%
63%
55%
Average goals
3,6
2,8
Scored
2,8
1,4
Conceded
0,9
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,9
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

62% Possession 38%
32 Shots 5
11 Shots on target 1
9 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 11
5 Corners 1
3 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ajax 2. · Den Haag 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 24 20 2 2 +37 62
2 Ajax 24 18 3 3 +45 57
3 AZ Alkmaar 25 16 5 4 +24 53
4 Feyenoord 24 12 6 6 +22 42
5 Zwolle 25 11 6 8 -1 39
6 Utrecht 22 10 7 5 +2 37
7 Vitesse 22 9 7 6 +11 34
8 Den Haag 22 9 5 8 -2 32
9 Heerenveen 24 8 8 8 -3 32
10 Excelsior 25 9 5 11 -5 32
11 VVV Venlo 25 7 11 7 -5 32
12 Heracles 25 8 6 11 -16 30
13 Groningen 25 5 10 10 -5 25
14 NAC Breda 25 5 6 14 -16 21
15 Willem II 24 5 5 14 -15 20
16 Twente 24 4 5 15 -17 17
17 Roda 24 4 5 15 -27 17
18 Sparta Rotterdam 25 3 6 16 -29 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ajax Den Haag
Nicolás Tagliafico 🟨
37′
André Onana 🟨
38′
38′
🟨 Trevor David
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 E. Hooi
↦ T. David
57′
🟨 Tom Beugelsdijk
M. Cassierra 🔁
↦ S. de Jong
76′
77′
🔁 E. Duplan
↦ E. Falkenburg
Carel Eiting 🟨
82′
D. de Wit 🔁
↦ C. Eiting
85′
A. Younes 🔁
↦ J. Kluivert
85′
87′
🟨 Bjorn Johnsen
89′
🔁 D. Gorter
↦ A. El Khayati
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Ajax

4-3-3
1 A. Onana G
31 N. Tagliafico D
3 J. Veltman D
4 M. de Ligt D
23 S. de Jong M
10 H. Ziyech M
6 D. van de Beek M
15 C. Eiting M
21 F. de Jong M
45 J. Kluivert F
7 David Neres F
Bench (8)
19 M. Cassierra
36 D. de Wit
11 A. Younes
5 M. Wöber
43 R. Kristensen
40 N. Mazraoui
33 K. Lamprou
44 M. Bakker

Coach: E. ten Hag

Den Haag

4-3-3
22 R. Zwinkels G
8 A. Meijers D
4 T. Beugelsdijk D
5 W. Kanon D
2 T. Ebuehi D
27 T. David D
30 E. Falkenburg F
10 L. Immers M
23 A. El Khayati M
17 D. Bakker M
9 B. Johnsen F
Bench (10)
77 E. Hooi
21 E. Duplan
6 D. Gorter
15 B. Kuipers
18 T. Coremans
26 T. Goppel
20 N. Kuipers
1 I. Groothuizen
14 D. Ladan
16 H. Asmelash

Coach: A. Groenendijk

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Paulus van Boekel · 30 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.