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Eredivisie
Referee: D Higler
Zwolle
U T U U U
2–1
Full-time
Vitesse
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zwolle Vitesse
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
0%
83%
Points per game
0,8
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
1,2
2,2
Conceded
1,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,5
This season — Eredivisie · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 45%
10%
80%
Points per game
0,9
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 55%
60%
50%
Average goals
2,9
2,6
Scored
1,2
2,0
Conceded
1,7
0,6
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

54% Possession 46%
16 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 2
0 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Zwolle 12. · Vitesse 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 11 9 0 2 +36 27
2 Vitesse 10 8 1 1 +14 25
3 PSV Eindhoven 10 7 2 1 +15 23
4 Twente 11 6 3 2 +11 21
5 Feyenoord 8 6 2 0 +12 20
6 Heerenveen 10 5 3 2 +5 18
7 AZ Alkmaar 9 4 5 0 +8 17
8 Groningen 10 5 2 3 +0 17
9 Waalwijk 11 3 3 5 -7 12
10 Sparta Rotterdam 10 3 2 5 -2 11
11 Utrecht 8 2 4 2 -3 10
12 Zwolle 10 1 6 3 -5 9
13 VVV Venlo 11 2 3 6 -15 9
14 Willem II 11 2 2 7 -10 8
15 Heracles 10 2 2 6 -10 8
16 For Sittard 11 1 3 7 -14 6
17 Den Haag 10 1 2 7 -18 5
18 FC Emmen 11 0 3 8 -17 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zwolle Vitesse
7′
O. Darfalou 0–1
O. Tannane
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 L. Openda
↦ T. Bruns
64′
🟥 Idrissa Toure
1–1 J. Drost
E. Reijnders
65′
70′
🔁 S. Tronstad
↦ O. Darfalou
71′
🔁 M. Manhoef
↦ O. Tannane
74′
🟨 Matúš Bero
2–1 M. van Duinen
76′
Jesper Drost 🟨
77′
B. van Polen 🔁
↦ R. Strieder
77′
P. Clement 🔁
↦ M. Saymak
83′
Eliano Reijnders 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Riechedly Bazoer
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Zwolle

4-3-3
1 M. Zetterer G
5 K. Paal D
4 Y. Nakayama D
31 S. van Wermeskerken D
15 S. Kersten D
11 J. Drost F
6 M. Saymak M
13 R. Strieder M
23 E. Reijnders F
30 D. Huiberts M
9 M. van Duinen F
Bench (9)
2 B. van Polen
22 P. Clement
36 M. Doue
40 M. Hauptmeijer
20 T. van den Belt
8 R. Ghoochannejhad
21 S. Lagsir
10 C. Leemans
16 X. Mous

Coach: J. Stegeman

Vitesse

5-3-2
22 R. Pasveer G
32 M. Wittek D
6 J. Rasmussen D
3 D. Doekhi D
20 T. Bruns M
21 M. Bero M
10 R. Bazoer D
27 I. Touré D
14 O. Tannane M
9 O. Darfalou F
11 A. Broja F
Bench (11)
7 L. Openda
8 S. Tronstad
42 M. Manhoef
39 E. Cornelisse
40 D. Huisman
23 B. Bayazit
44 E. Hernández
24 J. Houwen
29 T. Buitink
18 T. Hájek
17 H. Gong

Coach: T. Letsch

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,87
U
3,81
B
1,85
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,69
U2,5
2,16
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Higler · 133 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.