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Eredivisie
Referee: A Lindhout
Groningen
S T S U S
2–1
Full-time
VVV Venlo
U T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Groningen VVV Venlo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
5,2
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,2
3,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-2,2
This season — Eredivisie · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
5,2
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,2
3,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-2,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

53% Possession 47%
14 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 5
0 Offside 5
8 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Groningen 7. · VVV Venlo 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 6 5 0 1 +21 15
2 Vitesse 6 5 0 1 +8 15
3 Twente 7 4 2 1 +10 14
4 PSV Eindhoven 6 4 1 1 +7 13
5 Heerenveen 6 4 1 1 +5 13
6 Feyenoord 5 3 2 0 +7 11
7 Groningen 6 3 1 2 +0 10
8 Utrecht 5 2 3 0 +3 9
9 Zwolle 7 1 3 3 -5 6
10 AZ Alkmaar 5 0 5 0 +0 5
11 Willem II 6 1 2 3 -4 5
12 Waalwijk 6 1 2 3 -5 5
13 Heracles 6 1 2 3 -6 5
14 VVV Venlo 6 1 2 3 -13 5
15 Den Haag 6 1 1 4 -6 4
16 FC Emmen 6 0 3 3 -7 3
17 Sparta Rotterdam 5 0 2 3 -7 2
18 For Sittard 6 0 2 4 -8 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Groningen VVV Venlo
Daniel Van Kaam ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
18′
1–0 P. Joosten
J. Larsen
26′
Half-time 1–0
R. Lundqvist 🔁
↦ D. van Kaam
46′
48′
🔁 S. van Dijck
↦ T. Pachonik
2–0 J. Larsen
A. da Cruz
48′
M. El Hankouri 🔁
↦ A. da Cruz
60′
61′
🔁 J. Arias
↦ S. Janssen
61′
🔁 T. Hunte
↦ Z. Machach
G. Gudmundsson 🔁
↦ P. Joosten
75′
Gabriel Gudmundsson 🟨
88′
R. Balk 🔁
↦ J. Larsen
90′
95′
G. Giakoumakis 2–1
E. Linthorst
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Groningen

4-3-3
1 S. Padt G
3 B. van Hintum D
2 D. Dankerlui D
4 W. Dammers D
5 K. Itakura D
18 A. El Messaoudi M
6 A. Matusiwa M
26 D. van Kaam M
21 A. da Cruz F
14 P. Joosten F
9 J. Larsen F
Bench (12)
7 R. Lundqvist
11 M. El Hankouri
15 G. Gudmundsson
35 R. Balk
32 T. Poll
17 Migue Leal
24 N. Bertrams
25 J. de Boer
31 T. Suslov
8 S. Schreck
48 L. Miguel
33 J. van Kaam

Coach: D. Buijs

VVV Venlo

4-3-3
1 T. Kirschbaum G
3 A. Swinkels D
2 T. Pachonik D
5 S. Schäfer D
4 R. Gelmi D
6 D. Post M
8 Z. Machach F
21 E. Linthorst M
15 S. Janssen M
11 G. Giakoumakis F
10 V. van Crooij F
Bench (11)
18 S. van Dijck
25 J. Arias
27 T. Hunte
29 L. Nabbe
7 G. Hupperts
20 A. Bastiaans
19 Y. Roemer
23 N. S'rifi
24 W. Essanoussi
22 B. Verbong
16 D. van Crooij

Coach: H. de Koning

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,42
U
4,53
B
7,23
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,78
U2,5
2,04
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Lindhout · 161 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.