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La Liga
Referee: César Soto
Cadiz
U S T T U
2–1
Full-time
Barcelona
T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cadiz Barcelona
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,7
3,2
Scored
0,7
1,8
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,5
This season — La Liga · 11/9 matches
Win Ø 40%
36%
44%
Points per game
1,4
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
18%
56%
Both score Ø 36%
27%
44%
Average goals
1,9
3,1
Scored
0,8
2,1
Conceded
1,1
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

17% Possession 83%
7 Shots 21
3 Shots on target 8
1 Blocked shots 9
8 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 13
1 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 7
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cadiz 6. · Barcelona 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ath Madrid 10 8 2 0 +19 26
2 Sociedad 11 7 3 1 +17 24
3 Real Madrid 11 6 2 3 +5 20
4 Villarreal 11 5 5 1 +4 20
5 Sevilla 10 5 1 4 +3 16
6 Cadiz 11 4 3 4 -3 15
7 Barcelona 9 4 2 3 +10 14
8 Granada 10 4 2 4 -6 14
9 Ath Bilbao 11 4 1 6 +0 13
10 Elche 9 3 4 2 -1 13
11 Eibar 11 3 4 4 -1 13
12 Alaves 11 3 4 4 -2 13
13 Getafe 11 3 4 4 -4 13
14 Celta 12 3 4 5 -7 13
15 Valencia 11 3 3 5 +0 12
16 Betis 11 4 0 7 -11 12
17 Levante 11 2 5 4 -2 11
18 Osasuna 10 3 2 5 -5 11
19 Valladolid 12 2 4 6 -7 10
20 Huesca 11 0 7 4 -9 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cadiz Barcelona
1–0 Álvaro Giménez
8′
Alcalá 🔁
↦ M. López
31′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 O. Dembélé
↦ Philippe Coutinho
46′
🔁 Pedri
↦ Óscar Mingueza
57′
Alcalá 2–0
own goal
61′
🟨 Clément Lenglet
Álvaro Negredo 🔁
↦ Álvaro Giménez
62′
3–0 Álvaro Negredo
63′
77′
🔁 M. Pjanić
↦ Busquets
77′
🔁 Trincão
↦ S. Dest
A. Fernández 🔁
↦ J. Jønsson
80′
B. Adekanye 🔁
↦ Alberto Perea
80′
Alejo 🔁
↦ Jairo Izquierdo
81′
86′
🟨 Jordi Alba
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Cadiz

4-1-4-1
1 J. Ledesma G
20 Isaac Carcelén D
4 M. López D
3 Fali Jiménez D
22 A. Espino D
8 Álex M
2 J. Jønsson M
12 Y. Bodiger M
25 Jairo Izquierdo M
21 Álvaro Giménez F
10 Alberto Perea M
Bench (12)
19 Alcalá
18 Álvaro Negredo
17 A. Fernández
32 B. Adekanye
14 Alejo
9 A. Lozano
24 F. Malbašić
23 Nano
15 Carlos Akapo
5 Jon Garrido
13 David Gil
11 Jorge Pombo

Coach: Álvaro

Barcelona

4-2-3-1
1 M. ter Stegen G
18 Jordi Alba D
15 C. Lenglet D
28 Óscar Mingueza D
2 S. Dest D
5 Busquets M
14 Philippe Coutinho M
21 F. de Jong M
10 L. Messi M
7 A. Griezmann M
9 M. Braithwaite F
Bench (10)
11 O. Dembélé
16 Pedri
8 M. Pjanić
17 Trincão
24 Junior Firpo
12 Riqui Puig
13 Neto
26 Iñaki Peña
6 Carles Aleñá
4 R. Araújo

Coach: R. Koeman

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
8,10
U
5,19
B
1,36
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,66
U2,5
2,22
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

César Soto · 119 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.