Premier League
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Man City
Fulham
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 2–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Tottenham
|
10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +12 | 21 |
| 2 |
Liverpool
|
10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 21 |
| 3 |
Chelsea
|
10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | +12 | 19 |
| 4 |
Leicester
|
10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | +5 | 18 |
| 5 |
West Ham
|
10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +6 | 17 |
| 6 |
Southampton
|
10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 17 |
| 7 |
Everton
|
11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 17 |
| 8 |
Wolves
|
10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +0 | 17 |
| 9 |
Man United
|
9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +0 | 16 |
| 10 |
Aston Villa
|
9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | +7 | 15 |
| 11 |
Man City
|
9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 15 |
| 12 |
Leeds
|
10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 |
Newcastle
|
10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 14 |
| 14 |
Arsenal
|
10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 13 |
| 15 |
Crystal Palace
|
10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 13 |
| 16 |
Brighton
|
10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 10 |
| 17 |
Fulham
|
10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -8 | 7 |
| 18 |
West Brom
|
10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -11 | 6 |
| 19 |
Burnley
|
10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -13 | 6 |
| 20 |
Sheffield United
|
10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | -12 | 1 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Man City
Burnley
Tottenham
Man City
Man City
Liverpool
Sheffield United
Man City
West Ham
Man City
J Moss · 55 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.