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Premier League
Referee: J Moss
Man City
U S U T S
2–0
Full-time
Fulham
T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Man City Fulham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,2
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,0
This season — Premier League · 9/10 matches
Win Ø 32%
44%
20%
Points per game
1,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
33%
60%
Both score Ø 53%
56%
50%
Average goals
2,9
3,0
Scored
1,7
1,1
Conceded
1,2
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

68% Possession 32%
16 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 6
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Man City 11. · Fulham 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Tottenham 10 6 3 1 +12 21
2 Liverpool 10 6 3 1 +5 21
3 Chelsea 10 5 4 1 +12 19
4 Leicester 10 6 0 4 +5 18
5 West Ham 10 5 2 3 +6 17
6 Southampton 10 5 2 3 +3 17
7 Everton 11 5 2 4 +2 17
8 Wolves 10 5 2 3 +0 17
9 Man United 9 5 1 3 +0 16
10 Aston Villa 9 5 0 4 +7 15
11 Man City 9 4 3 2 +4 15
12 Leeds 10 4 2 4 -2 14
13 Newcastle 10 4 2 4 -3 14
14 Arsenal 10 4 1 5 -2 13
15 Crystal Palace 10 4 1 5 -3 13
16 Brighton 10 2 4 4 -2 10
17 Fulham 10 2 1 7 -8 7
18 West Brom 10 1 3 6 -11 6
19 Burnley 10 1 3 6 -13 6
20 Sheffield United 10 0 1 9 -12 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,12
U
9,74
B
21,84
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,30
U2,5 ✓
3,48
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Moss · 55 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.