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Eredivisie
Referee: K Blom
For Sittard
T T U T T
3–2
Full-time
Willem II
U T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

For Sittard Willem II
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
4,2
2,3
Scored
1,3
0,5
Conceded
2,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-1,3
This season — Eredivisie · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 10%
0%
20%
Points per game
0,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
70%
60%
Both score Ø 55%
70%
40%
Average goals
3,9
2,7
Scored
1,2
0,9
Conceded
2,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-0,9
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

40% Possession 60%
7 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 8
1 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match For Sittard 17. · Willem II 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 10 9 0 1 +37 27
2 Vitesse 10 8 1 1 +14 25
3 PSV Eindhoven 10 7 2 1 +15 23
4 Feyenoord 8 6 2 0 +12 20
5 Twente 10 5 3 2 +10 18
6 Heerenveen 10 5 3 2 +5 18
7 AZ Alkmaar 9 4 5 0 +8 17
8 Groningen 10 5 2 3 +0 17
9 Waalwijk 11 3 3 5 -7 12
10 Sparta Rotterdam 10 3 2 5 -2 11
11 Utrecht 8 2 4 2 -3 10
12 Zwolle 10 1 6 3 -5 9
13 VVV Venlo 11 2 3 6 -15 9
14 Willem II 10 2 2 6 -9 8
15 Heracles 10 2 2 6 -10 8
16 Den Haag 10 1 2 7 -18 5
17 For Sittard 10 0 3 7 -15 3
18 FC Emmen 11 0 3 8 -17 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

For Sittard Willem II
1–0 Lisandro Semedo
G. Cox
8′
2–0 S. Polter
29′
Lazaros Rota 🟨
33′
3–0 Z. Flemming
T. Tekie
44′
Half-time 3–0
46′
🔁 K. Wriedt
↦ G. Sağlam
50′
🟨 Derrick Köhn
Zian Flemming ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
51′
B. Ňinaj 🔁
↦ L. Rota
58′
61′
🟨 Vangelis Pavlidis
61′
🔁 F. Heerkens
↦ D. Köhn
63′
🟨 Freek Heerkens
65′
🔁 J. Yeboah
↦ C. Nunnely
66′
V. Pavlidis 3–1
M. Trésor
M. van Beijnen 🔁
↦ E. Hansson
72′
75′
🟨 Pol Llonch
79′
🔁 W. Spieringhs
↦ M. Köhlert
D. Dianessy 🔁
↦ Lisandro Semedo
82′
87′
J. van der Heijden 3–2
88′
🟨 Pol Llonch
88′
🟥 Pol Llonch
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

For Sittard

4-4-2
1 Y. van Osch G
5 R. Janssen D
2 M. Angha D
35 G. Cox D
44 L. Rota D
23 B. Rienstra M
14 T. Tekie M
11 E. Hansson M
8 Z. Flemming F
9 S. Polter F
7 Lisandro Semedo M
Bench (9)
4 B. Ňinaj
18 M. van Beijnen
17 D. Dianessy
77 A. Koşelev
41 Q. Franssen
20 A. Kastrati
22 A. Ugur
12 C. Essers
25 B. Breukers

Coach: S. Ultee

Willem II

4-3-3
1 R. Ruiter G
6 J. van der Heijden D
4 J. Peters D
13 L. Owusu D
27 D. Köhn D
8 Pol Llonch M
23 G. Sağlam M
21 M. Trésor M
10 V. Pavlidis F
11 M. Köhlert F
7 C. Nunnely F
Bench (7)
20 K. Wriedt
3 F. Heerkens
19 J. Yeboah
43 W. Spieringhs
22 V. van den Bogert
24 C. van den Berg
26 J. Brondeel

Coach: A. Koster

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,94
U
3,73
B
2,21
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,61
U2,5
2,29
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Blom · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.