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Pro League
Referee: C Dierick
Charleroi
S U U T T
3–0
Full-time
Cercle Brugge
T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi Cercle Brugge
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,2
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,5
This season — Pro League · 10/9 matches
Win Ø 58%
60%
56%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
40%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
60%
56%
Average goals
2,4
3,1
Scored
1,6
1,8
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%
20 Shots 9
9 Shots on target 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
11 Corners 1
0 Offside 1
18 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Charleroi 6. · Cercle Brugge 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Beerschot VA 12 8 0 4 +4 24
2 Anderlecht 11 5 6 0 +10 21
3 Antwerp 11 6 3 2 +7 21
4 Standard 11 6 3 2 +5 21
5 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 12 6 3 3 +2 21
6 Charleroi 10 6 2 2 +8 20
7 Genk 11 5 5 1 +6 20
8 Kortrijk 12 5 2 5 +0 17
9 Club Brugge 9 5 1 3 +14 16
10 Oostende 9 4 3 2 +9 15
11 Cercle Brugge 9 5 0 4 +4 15
12 Eupen 11 3 5 3 -4 14
13 Waregem 12 4 1 7 -9 13
14 Mechelen 8 3 1 4 -3 10
15 Gent 10 3 0 7 -3 9
16 St Truiden 10 2 3 5 -8 9
17 Waasland-Beveren 8 1 1 6 -10 4
18 Beveren 8 1 1 6 -10 4
19 Mouscron 9 0 3 6 -11 3
20 Royal Excel Mouscron 9 0 3 6 -11 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Charleroi Cercle Brugge
Half-time 0–0
48′
🟨 David Bates
1–0 A. Gholizadeh
M. Ilaimaharitra
53′
2–0 S. Berahino
58′
Ryota Morioka 🟨
68′
S. Nicholson 🔁
↦ S. Berahino
68′
68′
🔁 C. Vanhoutte
↦ Leonardo Lopes
74′
🔁 T. Somers
↦ K. Hoggas
G. Gillet 🔁
↦ K. Rezaei
80′
3–0 S. Nicholson
G. Gillet
82′
84′
🔁 S. Raux-Yao
↦ D. Bates
K. Nkuba 🔁
↦ M. Fall
87′
Joris Kayembe Ditu 🟨
90′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Charleroi

4-4-2
1 N. Penneteau G
24 D. Dessoleil D
23 S. Willems D
12 J. Kayembe F
4 J. Van Cleemput D
44 R. Morioka M
26 M. Ilaimaharitra M
7 M. Fall F
8 A. Gholizadeh F
10 K. Rezaei F
38 S. Berahino F
Bench (7)
16 S. Nicholson
30 G. Gillet
28 K. Nkuba
40 R. Descamps
5 M. Diagne
19 Lucas Ribeiro Costa
22 G. Hendrickx

Coach: K. Belhocine

Cercle Brugge

4-3-3
21 Warleson G
5 N. Ueda D
3 D. Bates D
2 Vitinho D
8 R. Decostere D
20 K. Hoggas M
42 Leonardo Lopes M
98 F. Kanoute M
7 K. Hazard F
9 I. Ugbo F
11 A. Musaba F
Bench (7)
14 C. Vanhoutte
34 T. Somers
17 S. Raux-Yao
18 M. Goblet
15 J. Omolo
19 D. Velkovski
44 A. Koshi

Coach: P. Clement

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,52
U
4,28
B
5,89
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,72
U2,5
2,10
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

C Dierick · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.