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Ligue 2

Le Havre

T S T U S

1–0

Full-time

Pau FC

T U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Le Havre Pau FC

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,0

1,8

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,2

This season — Ligue 2 · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 32%

50%

13%

Points per game

1,6

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

25%

Both score Ø 32%

25%

38%

Average goals

1,9

2,0

Scored

0,9

0,8

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

10 Shots 17

5 Shots on target 2

7 Corners 13

11 Free kicks against 17

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Le Havre 6. · Pau FC 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris FC	9	7	1	1	+10	22
2	Troyes	8	4	2	2	+4	14
3	Niort	8	4	2	2	+1	14
4	Caen	9	4	2	3	+0	14
5	Sochaux	8	3	4	1	+2	13
6	Le Havre	8	4	1	3	-1	13
7	Grenoble	7	4	0	3	+4	12
8	Clermont	8	3	3	2	+4	12
9	Auxerre	8	4	0	4	+3	12
10	Toulouse	8	3	3	2	+3	12
11	Valenciennes	8	3	2	3	+1	11
12	Amiens	8	3	2	3	+1	11
13	Guingamp	8	3	1	4	-1	10
14	Dunkerque	8	3	1	4	-1	10
15	Nancy	7	2	2	3	+0	8
16	Chateauroux	8	2	2	4	-1	8
17	Rodez	8	2	2	4	-8	8
18	Ajaccio	8	2	1	5	-6	7
19	Pau FC	8	1	3	4	-4	6
20	Chambly	8	1	2	5	-11	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris FC	5	4	0	1	+5	12
2	Troyes	4	3	1	0	+5	10
3	Valenciennes	4	3	1	0	+5	10
4	Caen	4	3	1	0	+3	10
5	Auxerre	5	3	0	2	+6	9
6	Grenoble	3	3	0	0	+6	9
7	Niort	4	2	2	0	+4	8
8	Toulouse	5	2	2	1	+4	8
9	Amiens	4	2	1	1	+1	7
10	Dunkerque	4	2	1	1	+1	7
11	Sochaux	4	2	1	1	+0	7
12	Guingamp	4	2	0	2	+0	6
13	Rodez	4	2	0	2	-2	6
14	Pau FC	4	1	2	1	+2	5
15	Clermont	4	1	2	1	+1	5
16	Nancy	3	1	1	1	+0	4
17	Chateauroux	4	1	1	2	+0	4
18	Le Havre	3	1	1	1	+0	4
19	Ajaccio	4	1	1	2	-1	4
20	Chambly	4	1	0	3	-6	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris FC	4	3	1	0	+5	10
2	Le Havre	5	3	0	2	-1	9
3	Clermont	4	2	1	1	+3	7
4	Sochaux	4	1	3	0	+2	6
5	Niort	4	2	0	2	-3	6
6	Nancy	4	1	1	2	+0	4
7	Amiens	4	1	1	2	+0	4
8	Toulouse	3	1	1	1	-1	4
9	Troyes	4	1	1	2	-1	4
10	Chateauroux	4	1	1	2	-1	4
11	Guingamp	4	1	1	2	-1	4
12	Caen	5	1	1	3	-3	4
13	Dunkerque	4	1	0	3	-2	3
14	Grenoble	4	1	0	3	-2	3
15	Auxerre	3	1	0	2	-3	3
16	Ajaccio	4	1	0	3	-5	3
17	Chambly	4	0	2	2	-5	2
18	Rodez	4	0	2	2	-6	2
19	Valenciennes	4	0	1	3	-4	1
20	Pau FC	4	0	1	3	-6	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.