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Premier League

Referee: K Friend

Liverpool

S S T U S

2–1

Full-time

West Ham

T S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Liverpool West Ham

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

4,8

3,3

Scored

2,5

2,0

Conceded

2,3

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,7

This season — Premier League · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

4,8

3,3

Scored

2,5

2,0

Conceded

2,3

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

72% Possession 28%

9 Shots 4

5 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

1 Corners 2

1 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 14

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Liverpool 2. · West Ham 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Everton	6	4	1	1	+5	13
2	Liverpool	6	4	1	1	+1	13
3	Wolves	7	4	1	2	+0	13
4	Chelsea	7	3	3	1	+7	12
5	Aston Villa	5	4	0	1	+7	12
6	Leicester	6	4	0	2	+5	12
7	Tottenham	6	3	2	1	+8	11
8	Man City	6	3	2	1	+1	11
9	Leeds	6	3	1	2	+3	10
10	Southampton	6	3	1	2	+1	10
11	Crystal Palace	7	3	1	3	-3	10
12	Arsenal	6	3	0	3	+1	9
13	West Ham	6	2	2	2	+4	8
14	Newcastle	6	2	2	2	-2	8
15	Man United	5	2	1	2	-3	7
16	Brighton	6	1	2	3	-2	5
17	West Brom	6	0	3	3	-8	3
18	Sheffield United	7	0	1	6	-7	1
19	Fulham	6	0	1	5	-9	1
20	Burnley	6	0	1	5	-9	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Liverpool	3	3	0	0	+4	9
2	Everton	3	2	1	0	+5	7
3	Wolves	4	2	1	1	+1	7
4	Aston Villa	3	2	0	1	+3	6
5	Southampton	3	2	0	1	+1	6
6	Arsenal	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	Chelsea	3	1	1	1	+2	4
8	West Ham	3	1	1	1	+2	4
9	Leeds	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Crystal Palace	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Leicester	3	1	0	2	-2	3
12	Man City	2	1	0	1	-2	3
13	Newcastle	3	1	0	2	-4	3
14	Tottenham	3	0	2	1	-1	2
15	West Brom	3	0	2	1	-3	2
16	Brighton	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Sheffield United	4	0	1	3	-4	1
18	Man United	3	0	1	2	-7	1
19	Burnley	3	0	0	3	-5	0
20	Fulham	3	0	0	3	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Tottenham	3	3	0	0	+9	9
2	Leicester	3	3	0	0	+7	9
3	Chelsea	4	2	2	0	+5	8
4	Man City	4	2	2	0	+3	8
5	Man United	2	2	0	0	+4	6
6	Aston Villa	2	2	0	0	+4	6
7	Leeds	3	2	0	1	+3	6
8	Everton	3	2	0	1	+0	6
9	Wolves	3	2	0	1	-1	6
10	Crystal Palace	4	2	0	2	-3	6
11	Newcastle	3	1	2	0	+2	5
12	West Ham	3	1	1	1	+2	4
13	Brighton	3	1	1	1	+1	4
14	Southampton	3	1	1	1	+0	4
15	Liverpool	3	1	1	1	-3	4
16	Arsenal	3	1	0	2	+0	3
17	Fulham	3	0	1	2	-2	1
18	Burnley	3	0	1	2	-4	1
19	West Brom	3	0	1	2	-5	1
20	Sheffield United	3	0	0	3	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.