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Premiership
Referee: J Beaton
Livingston
T S S T T
0–2
Full-time
Motherwell
T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Livingston Motherwell
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,0
This season — Premiership · 12/10 matches
Win Ø 28%
25%
30%
Points per game
0,9
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
58%
50%
Both score Ø 39%
58%
20%
Average goals
2,8
2,4
Scored
1,1
1,1
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

56% Possession 44%
13 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 5
1 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Livingston 9. · Motherwell 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 12 10 2 0 +25 32
2 Celtic 11 8 2 1 +18 26
3 Hibernian 12 7 3 2 +7 24
4 Aberdeen 11 7 2 2 +6 23
5 Kilmarnock 11 4 2 5 +2 14
6 Dundee United 12 3 4 5 -8 13
7 Ross County 12 3 3 6 -13 12
8 Motherwell 10 3 2 5 -2 11
9 Livingston 12 3 2 7 -7 11
10 ST Johnstone 12 3 2 7 -7 11
11 St Mirren 10 2 1 7 -9 7
12 Hamilton 11 2 1 8 -12 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Livingston Motherwell
22′
C. Lang 0–1
D. Cole
Jon Guthrie 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 J. White
↦ D. Cole
47′
T. Watt 0–2
A. Forrest 🔁
↦ J. Mullin
60′
S. Lawson 🔁
↦ C. Sibbald
64′
Marvin Bartley 🟨
66′
70′
🟨 Barry Maguire
73′
🟨 Tony Watt
S. Tiffoney 🔁
↦ J. Holt
73′
82′
🔁 C. Long
↦ C. Lang
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Livingston

4-3-3
32 M. Stryjek G
2 N. Devlin D
27 J. Guthrie D
3 C. Brown D
12 J. Serrano D
6 M. Bartley M
14 J. Mullin F
18 J. Holt M
10 C. Sibbald F
9 J. Emmanuel-Thomas F
8 S. Pittman M
Bench (9)
11 A. Forrest
33 S. Lawson
22 S. Tiffoney
1 R. McCrorie
29 A. Taylor-Sinclair
5 J. Fitzwater
15 M. Poplatnik
17 S. Robinson
25 E. Ambrose

Coach: G. Holt

Motherwell

4-3-3
34 A. Chapman G
31 D. Gallagher D
33 S. O'Donnell D
5 N. McGinley D
19 L. Polworth M
7 M. O'Hara D
6 A. Campbell M
15 B. Maguire M
32 T. Watt F
44 D. Cole F
29 C. Lang F
Bench (9)
9 J. White
99 C. Long
13 J. Archer
35 M. McDonald
28 Y. Hussain
26 D. Cornelius
27 M. Johnston
24 D. Devine
11 J. Hastie

Coach: S. Robinson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,35
U
3,30
B ✓
2,98
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,16
U2,5 ✓
1,69
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Beaton · 161 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.