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La Liga

Referee: Carlos Del Cerro

Ath Bilbao

S T T S T

2–1

Full-time

Sevilla

S S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Sevilla

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

17%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

1,7

Scored

0,7

1,0

Conceded

1,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,3

This season — La Liga · 6/5 matches

Win Ø 37%

33%

40%

Points per game

1,0

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 19%

17%

20%

Both score Ø 29%

17%

40%

Average goals

1,7

1,8

Scored

0,7

1,0

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

46% Possession 54%

16 Shots 7

5 Shots on target 3

7 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 1

0 Offside 1

17 Free kicks against 19

5 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Bilbao 16. · Sevilla 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	7	5	1	1	+8	16
2	Sociedad	7	4	2	1	+11	14
3	Cadiz	8	4	2	2	+2	14
4	Granada	6	4	1	1	+0	13
5	Villarreal	7	3	3	1	+0	12
6	Ath Madrid	5	3	2	0	+9	11
7	Osasuna	6	3	1	2	+2	10
8	Getafe	6	3	1	2	+1	10
9	Elche	5	3	1	1	+1	10
10	Betis	7	3	0	4	-4	9
11	Eibar	8	2	2	4	-3	8
12	Barcelona	5	2	1	2	+4	7
13	Sevilla	5	2	1	2	+1	7
14	Valencia	7	2	1	4	-2	7
15	Alaves	7	2	1	4	-3	7
16	Ath Bilbao	6	2	0	4	-2	6
17	Celta	7	1	3	3	-6	6
18	Huesca	8	0	5	3	-8	5
19	Levante	6	1	1	4	-5	4
20	Valladolid	7	0	3	4	-6	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Villarreal	4	3	1	0	+4	10
2	Granada	3	3	0	0	+4	9
3	Getafe	4	3	0	1	+4	9
4	Ath Madrid	3	2	1	0	+7	7
5	Sociedad	4	2	1	1	+5	7
6	Real Madrid	3	2	0	1	+3	6
7	Osasuna	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Barcelona	3	1	1	1	+2	4
9	Valencia	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Elche	3	1	1	1	-2	4
11	Alaves	4	1	1	2	-2	4
12	Ath Bilbao	2	1	0	1	+1	3
13	Sevilla	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Betis	3	1	0	2	-2	3
15	Celta	3	1	0	2	-4	3
16	Huesca	3	0	2	1	-2	2
17	Valladolid	4	0	2	2	-3	2
18	Cadiz	4	0	2	2	-4	2
19	Eibar	5	0	2	3	-4	2
20	Levante	2	0	1	1	-2	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cadiz	4	4	0	0	+6	12
2	Real Madrid	4	3	1	0	+5	10
3	Sociedad	3	2	1	0	+6	7
4	Elche	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Eibar	3	2	0	1	+1	6
6	Betis	4	2	0	2	-2	6
7	Ath Madrid	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Sevilla	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Osasuna	3	1	1	1	+1	4
10	Granada	3	1	1	1	-4	4
11	Barcelona	2	1	0	1	+2	3
12	Alaves	3	1	0	2	-1	3
13	Valencia	4	1	0	3	-2	3
14	Celta	4	0	3	1	-2	3
15	Levante	4	1	0	3	-3	3
16	Ath Bilbao	4	1	0	3	-3	3
17	Huesca	5	0	3	2	-6	3
18	Villarreal	3	0	2	1	-4	2
19	Valladolid	3	0	1	2	-3	1
20	Getafe	2	0	1	1	-3	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.