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Eredivisie
Referee: Ed Peter Janssen
Heracles
T U U U T
2–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heracles Sparta Rotterdam
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,2
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,2
This season — Eredivisie · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 20%
10%
30%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 35%
30%
40%
Both score Ø 60%
70%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
0,9
1,2
Conceded
1,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

63% Possession 37%
12 Shots 19
5 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 6
2 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 19
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Heracles 15. · Sparta Rotterdam 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 10 9 1 0 +22 28
2 Ajax 10 7 2 1 +14 23
3 PSV Eindhoven 10 6 3 1 +12 21
4 Heerenveen 9 6 2 1 +13 20
5 Twente 11 5 3 3 +4 18
6 Vitesse 10 4 3 3 +4 15
7 AZ Alkmaar 8 3 4 1 +5 13
8 Sparta Rotterdam 10 3 3 4 -1 12
9 Utrecht 8 3 2 3 +0 11
10 Den Haag 10 3 2 5 -6 11
11 Excelsior 10 3 1 6 -7 10
12 Nijmegen 10 2 4 4 -7 10
13 Willem II 11 2 4 5 -8 10
14 Zwolle 10 2 3 5 -11 9
15 Heracles 10 1 5 4 -5 8
16 Go Ahead Eagles 10 2 2 6 -9 8
17 Roda 11 1 5 5 -11 8
18 Groningen 10 1 3 6 -9 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Heracles Sparta Rotterdam
44′
Z. El Azzouzi 0–1
T. Verhaar
45′
🟨 Thomas Verhaar
Half-time 0–1
R. Gosens 🔁
↦ R. Pröpper
46′
B. Darri 🔁
↦ D. van Mieghem
55′
1–1 B. Darri
68′
69′
🟨 Kenneth Dougall
73′
🔁 L. Brogno
↦ C. Goodwin
2–1 B. Kuwas
R. Gosens
81′
82′
L. Brogno 2–2
M. Dijkstra
83′
🔁 F. Stokkers
↦ Z. El Azzouzi
Joey Pelupessy 🟨
85′
Justin Hoogma 🟨
90′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Heracles

4-3-3
1 B. Castro G
2 T. Breukers D
3 M. te Wierik D
4 R. Pröpper D
27 J. Hoogma D
8 L. Duarte M
10 T. Bruns M
14 J. Pelupessy M
9 S. Armenteros F
22 D. van Mieghem F
17 B. Kuwas F
Bench (9)
21 R. Gosens
7 B. Darri
11 T. Kada
12 W. Droste
15 J. Navrátil
19 V. Vermeij
20 P. van Ooijen
25 R. Fij
28 M. Brouwer

Coach: J. Stegeman

Sparta Rotterdam

4-3-3
1 R. Kortsmit G
5 M. Breuer D
8 M. Dijkstra M
2 D. Dumfries D
3 S. Floranus D
6 R. van Drongelen D
4 K. Dougall M
10 S. Spierings F
11 C. Goodwin M
7 T. Verhaar F
9 Z. El Azzouzi F
Bench (8)
15 L. Brogno
16 F. Stokkers
14 Iván Calero
20 M. Verrips
17 C. Chevreuil
13 I. Alhalft
30 R. Kieboom
12 R. Ketting

Coach: A. Pastoor

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Ed Peter Janssen · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
16,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.