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Premiership
Referee: W Collum
Aberdeen
T S S U S
3–3
Full-time
Celtic
S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aberdeen Celtic
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
67%
83%
Points per game
2,2
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
1,7
2,5
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,7
This season — Premiership · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 75%
70%
80%
Points per game
2,2
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
50%
60%
Both score Ø 35%
30%
40%
Average goals
2,2
3,2
Scored
1,4
2,5
Conceded
0,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+1,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

38% Possession 62%
13 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 5
1 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 18
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aberdeen 4. · Celtic 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 11 9 2 0 +23 29
2 Celtic 10 8 1 1 +18 25
3 Hibernian 12 7 3 2 +7 24
4 Aberdeen 10 7 1 2 +6 22
5 Kilmarnock 11 4 2 5 +2 14
6 Dundee United 12 3 4 5 -8 13
7 Ross County 12 3 3 6 -13 12
8 Motherwell 10 3 2 5 -2 11
9 Livingston 11 3 2 6 -5 11
10 ST Johnstone 12 3 2 7 -7 11
11 St Mirren 10 2 1 7 -9 7
12 Hamilton 11 2 1 8 -12 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aberdeen Celtic
9′
🟨 Callum McGregor
Lewis Ferguson 🟨
13′
C. McLennan 🔁
↦ D. McGeouch
26′
1–0 L. Ferguson
43′
Half-time 1–0
Ross McCrorie 🟨
52′
52′
C. McGregor 1–1
T. Rogić
S. Wright 🔁
↦ M. Watkins
56′
S. Cosgrove 🔁
↦ R. Edmondson
57′
2–1 R. Hedges
65′
70′
🔁 L. Griffiths
↦ A. Ajeti
70′
🔁 S. Brown
↦ O. Ntcham
76′
L. Griffiths 2–2
T. Rogić
78′
R. Christie 2–3
86′
🔁 D. Turnbull
↦ T. Rogić
3–3 L. Ferguson
92′
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Aberdeen

3-1-4-2
1 J. Lewis G
4 A. Considine D
14 A. Taylor D
3 T. Hoban D
17 J. Hayes M
15 D. McGeouch M
11 R. Hedges F
40 R. McCrorie M
19 L. Ferguson M
50 M. Watkins M
32 R. Edmondson F
Bench (9)
18 C. McLennan
25 S. Wright
16 S. Cosgrove
5 G. Leigh
43 G. Woods
8 F. Ojo
2 S. Logan
33 M. Kennedy
10 N. McGinn

Coach: D. McInnes

Celtic

4-2-3-1
29 S. Bain G
4 S. Duffy D
93 D. Laxalt D
35 K. Ajer D
30 J. Frimpong D
42 C. McGregor M
27 M. Elyounoussi M
18 T. Rogić M
21 O. Ntcham M
17 R. Christie M
10 A. Ajeti F
Bench (9)
9 L. Griffiths
8 S. Brown
14 D. Turnbull
65 C. Hazard
11 P. Klimala
12 I. Soro
56 A. Ralston
3 G. Taylor
57 S. Welsh

Coach: N. Lennon

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,76
U ✓
3,72
B
1,61
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,00
U2,5
1,79
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

W Collum · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.