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Allsvenskan
Malmo FF
U U S S T
3–1
Full-time
Goteborg
S T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malmo FF Goteborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
3,2
2,2
Scored
2,0
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,5
This season — Allsvenskan · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 36%
54%
17%
Points per game
2,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
63%
54%
Both score Ø 63%
63%
63%
Average goals
3,0
2,6
Scored
2,0
1,1
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Malmo FF 1. · Goteborg 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Malmo FF 24 13 8 3 +24 47
2 Hacken 24 10 10 4 +14 40
3 Norrkoping 24 11 6 7 +14 39
4 Djurgarden 24 11 6 7 +12 39
5 Elfsborg 24 9 12 3 +7 39
6 Hammarby 25 10 9 6 +5 39
7 Sirius 24 9 8 7 -1 35
8 Ostersunds 25 8 9 8 -3 33
9 Mjallby 25 8 8 9 -4 32
10 AIK 23 8 6 9 -2 30
11 Orebro 24 8 6 10 -5 30
12 Varberg 24 7 6 11 -5 27
13 Goteborg 24 4 12 8 -10 24
14 Helsingborg 24 4 10 10 -12 22
15 Falkenbergs 25 4 8 13 -16 20
16 Kalmar 25 4 8 13 -18 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.