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Premier League
Referee: P Bankes
Nott'm Forest
T U U S T
3–1
Full-time
Brentford
S S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nott'm Forest Brentford
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,8
Scored
0,8
2,3
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

1,83 xG 1,49
54% Possession 46%
11 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 5
2 Offside 0
7 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Nott'm Forest Brentford
1–0 C. Wood
5′
2–0 D. Ndoye
M. Gibbs-White
42′
3–0 C. Wood
E. Anderson
45′
Half-time 3–0
46′
🔁 K. Schade
↦ A. Milambo
52′
🟨 Nathan Collins
Neco Williams 🟨
53′
69′
🔁 J. Henderson
↦ M. Jensen
69′
🔁 F. Onyeka
↦ K. Lewis-Potter
78′
I. Thiago 3–1
Igor Jesus 🔁
↦ C. Wood
79′
Jota Silva 🔁
↦ D. Ndoye
79′
R. Yates 🔁
↦ M. Gibbs-White
84′
88′
🔁 A. Hickey
↦ R. Henry
90′
🟨 Aaron Hickey
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Nott'm Forest

4-2-3-1
26 M. Sels G
34 O. Aina D
31 N. Milenkovic D
5 Murillo D
3 N. Williams D
6 I. Sangare M
8 E. Anderson M
14 D. Ndoye M
10 M. Gibbs-White M
7 C. Hudson-Odoi M
11 C. Wood F
Bench (9)
18 A. Gunn
9 T. Awoniyi
22 R. Yates
19 Igor Jesus
20 Jota Silva
23 Cunha
30 W. Boly
4 Morato
44 Z. Abbott

Coach: Vitor Pereira

Brentford

4-2-3-1
1 C. Kelleher G
33 M. Kayode D
22 N. Collins D
4 S. van den Berg D
3 R. Henry D
18 Y. Yarmolyuk M
8 M. Jensen M
23 K. Lewis-Potter M
17 A. Milambo M
14 F. Carvalho M
9 I. Thiago F
Bench (9)
12 H. R. Valdimarsson
6 J. Henderson
20 K. Ajer
30 M. Roerslev Rasmussen
15 F. Onyeka
7 K. Schade
25 M. Peart-Harris
43 B. Arthur
2 A. Hickey

Coach: Keith Andrews

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,15
U
3,36
B
3,43
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,92
U2,5
1,83
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

P Bankes · 156 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.