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Allsvenskan

Referee: Victor Wolf

Mjallby

S S S S S

1–1

Full-time

Djurgarden

S S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mjallby Djurgarden

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,7

Scored

1,8

2,0

Conceded

0,7

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 56%

74%

37%

Points per game

2,4

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

58%

26%

Both score Ø 55%

68%

42%

Average goals

2,8

2,2

Scored

2,0

1,2

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,72 xG 1,49

66% Possession 34%

11 Shots 14

3 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 5

1 Offside 3

18 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Mjallby 1. · Djurgarden 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Mjallby	19	14	4	1	+23	+2.5	46
2	Hammarby	19	13	3	3	+20	+12.8	42
3	Malmo FF	20	10	6	4	+16	+12.4	36
4	Elfsborg	20	11	3	6	+9	+2.4	36
5	AIK	20	9	7	4	+7	+5.8	34
6	Goteborg	20	11	1	8	+3	+0.1	34
7	GAIS	19	8	8	3	+13	+10.2	32
8	Djurgarden	19	7	6	6	+3	+4.2	27
9	Brommapojkarna	20	7	2	11	-2	-1.3	23
10	Hacken	19	6	5	8	-7	+2.2	23
11	Norrkoping	20	6	4	10	-7	-8.9	22
12	Sirius	20	5	5	10	-5	-2.2	20
13	Halmstad	20	5	3	12	-25	-13.9	18
14	Oster	19	3	6	10	-11	-10.6	15
15	Degerfors	19	4	3	12	-21	-3.7	15
16	Varnamo	19	1	6	12	-16	-12.1	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hammarby	10	8	1	1	+13	+10.8	25
2	Mjallby	9	7	2	0	+12	+4.9	23
3	Elfsborg	10	6	2	2	+7	+2.8	20
4	AIK	9	5	4	0	+10	+4.6	19
5	Malmo FF	9	5	2	2	+8	+8.5	17
6	Goteborg	10	5	1	4	+4	+1.9	16
7	GAIS	9	4	3	2	+5	+6.9	15
8	Djurgarden	10	3	5	2	+3	+5.2	14
9	Norrkoping	11	4	1	6	-3	-0.0	13
10	Halmstad	11	4	1	6	-11	-4.7	13
11	Hacken	10	3	2	5	-5	+4.0	11
12	Brommapojkarna	10	3	0	7	-5	-0.4	9
13	Sirius	9	2	2	5	-3	+1.0	8
14	Varnamo	10	1	4	5	-5	-5.3	7
15	Oster	9	1	3	5	-6	-4.3	6
16	Degerfors	10	1	3	6	-12	-0.4	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Mjallby	10	7	2	1	+11	-2.3	23
2	Malmo FF	11	5	4	2	+8	+3.9	19
3	Goteborg	10	6	0	4	-1	-1.8	18
4	GAIS	10	4	5	1	+8	+3.3	17
5	Hammarby	9	5	2	2	+7	+2.0	17
6	Elfsborg	10	5	1	4	+2	-0.4	16
7	AIK	11	4	3	4	-3	+1.2	15
8	Brommapojkarna	10	4	2	4	+3	-0.9	14
9	Djurgarden	9	4	1	4	+0	-1.1	13
10	Sirius	11	3	3	5	-2	-3.1	12
11	Hacken	9	3	3	3	-2	-1.8	12
12	Norrkoping	9	2	3	4	-4	-8.9	9
13	Oster	10	2	3	5	-5	-6.3	9
14	Degerfors	9	3	0	6	-9	-3.3	9
15	Halmstad	9	1	2	6	-14	-9.2	5
16	Varnamo	9	0	2	7	-11	-6.8	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.