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Ligue 1
Referee: W Delajod
Nantes
T T S T S
0–3
Full-time
Rennes
S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nantes Rennes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ligue 1 · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 33%
31%
34%
Points per game
1,1
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
45%
52%
Both score Ø 54%
45%
62%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,4
Conceded
1,6
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,18 xG 2,37
44% Possession 56%
6 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 7
1 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nantes 14. · Rennes 10.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Paris SG 28 18 9 1 +41 +23.8 63
2 Brest 29 15 8 6 +17 +9.6 53
3 Monaco 28 15 7 6 +15 +8.3 52
4 Lille 28 13 10 5 +17 +14.4 49
5 Nice 29 13 8 8 +9 +13.2 47
6 Lens 29 12 7 10 +6 +1.2 43
7 Lyon 29 12 5 12 -7 -3.9 41
8 Reims 29 11 7 11 -3 +2.2 40
9 Marseille 28 10 9 9 +8 +16.5 39
10 Rennes 29 10 9 10 +5 +6.6 39
11 Toulouse 29 9 9 11 -3 -6.9 36
12 Strasbourg 29 9 9 11 -7 -1.7 36
13 Montpellier 29 8 10 11 -5 +2.2 34
14 Nantes 29 9 4 16 -17 -13.6 31
15 Le Havre 29 6 10 13 -10 -10.8 28
16 Metz 29 7 5 17 -19 -19.8 26
17 Lorient 29 6 8 15 -20 -17.0 26
18 Clermont 29 4 10 15 -27 -24.3 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nantes Rennes
K. Bamba 🔁
↦ Douglas Augusto
26′
40′
🟨 Christopher Wooh
45′
🟨 Désiré Doué
Half-time 0–0
52′
🟨 Baptiste Santamaria
63′
🟨 Guéla Doué
67′
A. Kalimuendo 0–1
G. Doué
68′
🔁 B. Bourigeaud
↦ L. Blas
S. Appuah 🔁
↦ F. Mollet
72′
B. Traoré 🔁
↦ S. Moutoussamy
72′
76′
B. Bourigeaud 0–2
82′
🔁 B. Yıldırım
↦ M. Terrier
82′
🔁 A. Gouiri
↦ A. Kalimuendo
Pedro Chirivella 🟨
84′
M. Coco 🔁
↦ K. Amian
85′
89′
🔁 A. Theate
↦ J. Belocian
89′
🔁 F. Rieder
↦ A. Matusiwa
91′
A. Gouiri 0–3
D. Doué
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Nantes

4-3-3
1 A. Lafont G
98 K. Amian D
21 J. Castelletto D
4 N. Pallois D
3 N. Cozza D
6 Douglas Augusto M
5 Pedro Chirivella M
8 S. Moutoussamy M
17 M. Sissoko F
31 Mostafa Mohamed F
25 F. Mollet F
Bench (9)
12 K. Bamba
23 S. Appuah
77 B. Traoré
11 M. Coco
54 A. Mahamoud
24 E. Cömert
44 N. Zézé
2 J. Duverne
30 D. Petrić

Coach: A. Kombouare

Rennes

4-2-3-1
30 S. Mandanda G
17 G. Doué D
23 W. Omari D
4 C. Wooh D
16 J. Belocian D
6 A. Matusiwa M
8 B. Santamaría M
11 L. Blas M
7 M. Terrier M
33 D. Doué M
9 A. Kalimuendo F
Bench (9)
14 B. Bourigeaud
99 B. Yıldırım
10 A. Gouiri
5 A. Theate
32 F. Rieder
28 E. Le Fée
52 R. Bamba
1 G. Gallon
34 I. Salah

Coach: J. Stéphan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,03
U
3,31
B ✓
2,41
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,09
U2,5
1,76
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

W Delajod · 165 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.