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Ligue 1

Referee: B Bastien

Paris SG

S S S S S

1–1

Full-time

Monaco

U S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris SG Monaco

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

83%

17%

Points per game

2,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

5,5

3,5

Scored

4,7

1,5

Conceded

0,8

2,0

Goal diff per game

+3,8

-0,5

This season — Ligue 1 · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 67%

100%

33%

Points per game

3,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 84%

67%

100%

Average goals

6,7

3,3

Scored

5,7

1,3

Conceded

1,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+4,7

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

67% Possession 33%

18 Shots 4

5 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 3

3 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 15

4 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Paris SG 3. · Monaco 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Marseille	4	3	1	0	+7	10
2	Lens	4	3	1	0	+5	10
3	Paris SG	3	3	0	0	+14	9
4	Lyon	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	Lorient	3	2	1	0	+2	7
6	Lille	4	2	1	1	-1	7
7	Auxerre	4	2	1	1	-1	7
8	Montpellier	4	2	0	2	+4	6
9	Clermont	4	2	0	2	-3	6
10	Toulouse	4	1	2	1	+1	5
11	Nantes	4	1	2	1	+1	5
12	Rennes	4	1	1	2	-1	4
13	Monaco	3	1	1	1	-2	4
14	Brest	4	1	1	2	-6	4
15	Troyes	4	1	0	3	-5	3
16	Strasbourg	4	0	2	2	-2	2
17	Angers	4	0	2	2	-4	2
18	Nice	4	0	2	2	-4	2
19	Reims	4	0	2	2	-5	2
20	Ajaccio	4	0	1	3	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lyon	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Marseille	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Lens	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Nantes	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Auxerre	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Lorient	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Montpellier	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Rennes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Troyes	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Lille	2	1	0	1	-3	3
12	Clermont	2	1	0	1	-4	3
13	Toulouse	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Strasbourg	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Reims	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Angers	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Ajaccio	2	0	1	1	-2	1
18	Monaco	2	0	1	1	-3	1
19	Nice	2	0	1	1	-3	1
20	Brest	2	0	1	1	-7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	2	2	0	0	+11	6
2	Lens	2	1	1	0	+3	4
3	Marseille	2	1	1	0	+3	4
4	Lille	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Lorient	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Montpellier	2	1	0	1	+4	3
7	Clermont	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Brest	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Toulouse	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Auxerre	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Lyon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Rennes	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Nantes	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Nice	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Strasbourg	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Angers	2	0	1	1	-2	1
18	Reims	2	0	1	1	-3	1
19	Ajaccio	2	0	0	2	-2	0
20	Troyes	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.