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2. Bundesliga

Referee: F Badstübner

Paderborn

S S S U S

3–0

Full-time

Regensburg

U T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paderborn Regensburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

83%

Points per game

2,7

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

5,2

2,5

Scored

4,2

0,3

Conceded

1,0

2,2

Goal diff per game

+3,2

-1,8

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 50%

71%

29%

Points per game

2,3

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

71%

43%

Both score Ø 29%

57%

Average goals

4,1

2,3

Scored

3,0

0,7

Conceded

1,1

1,6

Goal diff per game

+1,9

-0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

61% Possession 39%

23 Shots 6

11 Shots on target 1

7 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 7

8 Corners 2

1 Offside 3

8 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Paderborn 2. · Regensburg 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	8	6	0	2	+7	18
2	Paderborn	7	5	1	1	+13	16
3	Heidenheim	7	4	2	1	+7	14
4	Darmstadt	7	4	2	1	+5	14
5	Hannover	7	4	1	2	+4	13
6	Kaiserslautern	7	3	3	1	+3	12
7	Holstein Kiel	8	3	3	2	-1	12
8	Fortuna Dusseldorf	7	3	2	2	+4	11
9	Karlsruhe	7	3	1	3	+2	10
10	Nurnberg	8	3	1	4	-4	10
11	St Pauli	7	2	3	2	+1	9
12	Hansa Rostock	7	3	0	4	-4	9
13	Regensburg	7	2	2	3	-6	8
14	Sandhausen	7	2	1	4	-2	7
15	Bielefeld	8	1	2	5	-5	5
16	Greuther Furth	7	0	4	3	-5	4
17	Magdeburg	7	1	1	5	-9	4
18	Braunschweig	7	1	1	5	-10	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paderborn	4	4	0	0	+13	12
2	Darmstadt	4	2	2	0	+5	8
3	Fortuna Dusseldorf	3	2	1	0	+5	7
4	St Pauli	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	Heidenheim	3	2	1	0	+4	7
6	Holstein Kiel	4	2	1	1	+3	7
7	Hannover	3	2	1	0	+2	7
8	Kaiserslautern	4	2	1	1	+1	7
9	Sandhausen	4	2	1	1	+1	7
10	Karlsruhe	3	2	0	1	+2	6
11	Hansa Rostock	4	2	0	2	+1	6
12	Hamburg	4	2	0	2	+0	6
13	Nurnberg	4	2	0	2	-2	6
14	Regensburg	4	1	2	1	-4	5
15	Braunschweig	4	1	1	2	-1	4
16	Greuther Furth	4	0	3	1	-2	3
17	Bielefeld	3	1	0	2	-2	3
18	Magdeburg	3	0	0	3	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	4	4	0	0	+7	12
2	Heidenheim	4	2	1	1	+3	7
3	Hannover	4	2	0	2	+2	6
4	Darmstadt	3	2	0	1	+0	6
5	Kaiserslautern	3	1	2	0	+2	5
6	Holstein Kiel	4	1	2	1	-4	5
7	Karlsruhe	4	1	1	2	+0	4
8	Paderborn	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Fortuna Dusseldorf	4	1	1	2	-1	4
10	Nurnberg	4	1	1	2	-2	4
11	Magdeburg	4	1	1	2	-3	4
12	Regensburg	3	1	0	2	-2	3
13	Hansa Rostock	3	1	0	2	-5	3
14	St Pauli	4	0	2	2	-3	2
15	Bielefeld	5	0	2	3	-3	2
16	Greuther Furth	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Sandhausen	3	0	0	3	-3	0
18	Braunschweig	3	0	0	3	-9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.