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Eredivisie

Referee: E van de Graaf

Ajax

S S S S S

5–0

Full-time

Heerenveen

U U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax Heerenveen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

100%

33%

Points per game

3,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

3,8

1,5

Scored

3,3

1,0

Conceded

0,5

Goal diff per game

+2,8

+0,5

This season — Eredivisie · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 70%

100%

40%

Points per game

3,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

60%

40%

Both score Ø 30%

40%

20%

Average goals

3,8

1,4

Scored

3,2

1,2

Conceded

0,6

0,2

Goal diff per game

+2,6

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

71% Possession 29%

20 Shots 5

7 Shots on target 1

7 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

17 Corners 3

3 Offside 3

3 Free kicks against 4

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ajax 1. · Heerenveen 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	5	5	0	0	+13	15
2	Feyenoord	5	4	1	0	+9	13
3	AZ Alkmaar	5	4	1	0	+7	13
4	PSV Eindhoven	5	4	0	1	+16	12
5	Twente	5	4	0	1	+8	12
6	Heerenveen	5	2	3	0	+5	9
7	Sparta Rotterdam	5	2	1	2	+3	7
8	Nijmegen	6	1	4	1	+2	7
9	Waalwijk	5	1	3	1	+2	6
10	Excelsior	5	2	0	3	-8	6
11	Utrecht	5	1	2	2	-2	5
12	Groningen	5	1	2	2	-5	5
13	Cambuur	5	1	1	3	-4	4
14	Vitesse	5	1	1	3	-8	4
15	FC Emmen	5	1	1	3	-9	4
16	Volendam	6	1	1	4	-13	4
17	Go Ahead Eagles	6	1	0	5	-7	3
18	For Sittard	6	0	1	5	-9	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Twente	3	3	0	0	+8	9
2	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+9	6
3	Ajax	2	2	0	0	+9	6
4	Heerenveen	3	1	2	0	+1	5
5	Feyenoord	2	1	1	0	+4	4
6	Waalwijk	3	1	1	1	+2	4
7	AZ Alkmaar	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Groningen	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	FC Emmen	3	1	1	1	-2	4
10	Sparta Rotterdam	3	1	0	2	+2	3
11	Excelsior	2	1	0	1	-3	3
12	Volendam	3	1	0	2	-3	3
13	Nijmegen	3	0	2	1	-1	2
14	Utrecht	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Vitesse	3	0	1	2	-7	1
16	Cambuur	2	0	0	2	-3	0
17	For Sittard	3	0	0	3	-5	0
18	Go Ahead Eagles	3	0	0	3	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	AZ Alkmaar	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	Ajax	3	3	0	0	+4	9
4	PSV Eindhoven	3	2	0	1	+7	6
5	Nijmegen	3	1	2	0	+3	5
6	Heerenveen	2	1	1	0	+4	4
7	Sparta Rotterdam	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Utrecht	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Cambuur	3	1	1	1	-1	4
10	Twente	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Vitesse	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Go Ahead Eagles	3	1	0	2	-2	3
13	Excelsior	3	1	0	2	-5	3
14	Waalwijk	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	For Sittard	3	0	1	2	-4	1
16	Groningen	2	0	1	1	-5	1
17	Volendam	3	0	1	2	-10	1
18	FC Emmen	2	0	0	2	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.