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Bundesliga
Referee: C Dingert
Bayern Munich
S U S U S
2–2
Full-time
Stuttgart
U U T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bayern Munich Stuttgart
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,3
1,7
Scored
3,0
0,8
Conceded
0,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+2,7
+0,0
This season — Bundesliga · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 30%
60%
0%
Points per game
2,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 30%
40%
20%
Both score Ø 60%
60%
60%
Average goals
4,0
1,8
Scored
3,4
0,8
Conceded
0,6
1,0
Goal diff per game
+2,8
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

67% Possession 33%
18 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 0
2 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bayern Munich 3. · Stuttgart 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Freiburg 5 4 0 1 +5 12
2 Dortmund 5 4 0 1 +4 12
3 Bayern Munich 5 3 2 0 +14 11
4 Union Berlin 5 3 2 0 +8 11
5 Mainz 5 3 1 1 +0 10
6 FC Koln 5 2 3 0 +4 9
7 Hoffenheim 5 3 0 2 +2 9
8 M'gladbach 5 2 2 1 +2 8
9 Werder Bremen 6 2 2 2 +1 8
10 Ein Frankfurt 5 2 2 1 +0 8
11 Augsburg 6 2 0 4 -6 6
12 RB Leipzig 5 1 2 2 -3 5
13 Stuttgart 5 0 4 1 -1 4
14 Hertha 5 1 1 3 -2 4
15 Leverkusen 5 1 0 4 -3 3
16 Schalke 04 5 0 3 2 -7 3
17 Wolfsburg 5 0 2 3 -6 2
18 Bochum 5 0 0 5 -12 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bayern Munich Stuttgart
4′
🟨 Borna Sosa
1–0 M. Tel
A. Davies
36′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 C. Führich
↦ Tiago Tomás
52′
ℹ️ Serhou Guirassy
VAR: Goal cancelled
57′
C. Führich 1–1
K. Mavropanos
59′
🟨 Hiroki Ito
2–1 J. Musiala
N. Mazraoui
60′
L. Sané 🔁
↦ M. Tel
61′
J. Stanišić 🔁
↦ N. Mazraoui
61′
E. Choupo-Moting 🔁
↦ T. Müller
69′
75′
🔁 J. Perea
↦ S. Katompa Mvumpa
75′
🔁 L. Egloff
↦ W. Endo
79′
🟨 Naouirou Ahamada
81′
🟨 Waldemar Anton
R. Gravenberch 🔁
↦ S. Gnabry
81′
S. Mané 🔁
↦ J. Musiala
81′
84′
🔁 P. Stenzel
↦ K. Mavropanos
84′
🔁 E. Millot
↦ N. Ahamada
90′
🟨 Atakan Karazor
90′
ℹ️ Serhou Guirassy
VAR: Penalty confirmed
Matthijs de Ligt 🟨
91′
92′
S. Guirassy 2–2
Leroy Sané 🟨
94′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Bayern Munich

4-2-3-1
1 M. Neuer G
40 N. Mazraoui D
2 D. Upamecano D
4 M. de Ligt D
19 A. Davies D
8 L. Goretzka M
6 J. Kimmich M
39 M. Tel M
42 J. Musiala M
7 S. Gnabry M
25 T. Müller F
Bench (9)
10 L. Sané
44 J. Stanišić
13 E. Choupo-Moting
38 R. Gravenberch
17 S. Mané
5 B. Pavard
26 S. Ulreich
21 L. Hernández
18 M. Sabitzer

Coach: J. Nagelsmann

Stuttgart

3-5-2
1 F. Müller G
5 K. Mavropanos D
2 W. Anton D
21 H. Ito D
14 S. Katompa Mvumpa M
3 W. Endo M
16 A. Karazor M
32 N. Ahamada M
24 B. Sosa M
10 Tiago Tomás F
9 S. Guirassy F
Bench (8)
22 C. Führich
11 J. Perea
25 L. Egloff
15 P. Stenzel
8 E. Millot
39 T. Kastanaras
33 F. Bredlow
37 A. Aidonis

Coach: P. Matarazzo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,16
U ✓
8,66
B
16,09
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,23
U2,5
4,19
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

C Dingert · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.