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Primeira Liga

Referee: Manuel Mota

Sp Lisbon

S S S S U

3–0

Full-time

Rio Ave

T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Lisbon Rio Ave

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,2

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

4,2

2,2

Scored

2,8

0,3

Conceded

1,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-1,5

This season — Primeira Liga · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

1,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

6,0

1,0

Scored

3,0

0,0

Conceded

3,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

67% Possession 33%

20 Shots 3

6 Shots on target 1

5 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 1

0 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 6

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sp Lisbon 9. · Rio Ave 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Sp Braga	2	1	1	0	+3	4
3	Porto	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Estoril	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Boavista	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Gil Vicente	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Vizela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Guimaraes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Sp Lisbon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Santa Clara	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Casa Pia	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Portimonense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Rio Ave	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Chaves	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
17	Arouca	1	0	0	1	-4	0
18	Famalicao	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Estoril	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Gil Vicente	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Sp Braga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Santa Clara	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Portimonense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Rio Ave	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Casa Pia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Chaves	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Famalicao	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Braga	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Boavista	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Vizela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Guimaraes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Sp Lisbon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Casa Pia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Famalicao	1	0	0	1	-2	0
10	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
11	Arouca	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.