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Championship

Referee: R Madley

Millwall

S T S T T

3–2

Full-time

Coventry

U T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Millwall Coventry

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,5

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

2,0

2,5

Scored

1,3

0,7

Conceded

0,7

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-1,2

This season — Championship · 2/1 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

2,0

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

45% Possession 55%

13 Shots 17

6 Shots on target 7

2 Blocked shots 4

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 6

3 Offside 2

8 Free kicks against 13

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Millwall 10. · Coventry 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Watford	3	2	1	0	+2	7
2	Blackburn	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Cardiff	3	2	0	1	+1	6
4	Sunderland	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Hull	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Burnley	3	1	1	1	+0	4
7	Birmingham	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Sheffield United	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	QPR	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Millwall	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Stoke	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Reading	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Blackpool	2	1	0	1	-1	3
14	West Brom	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Wigan	2	0	2	0	+0	2
16	Luton	2	0	2	0	+0	2
17	Preston	2	0	2	0	+0	2
18	Coventry	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Rotherham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Middlesbrough	2	0	1	1	-1	1
21	Norwich	2	0	1	1	-1	1
22	Swansea	2	0	1	1	-3	1
23	Bristol City	2	0	0	2	-2	0
24	Huddersfield	2	0	0	2	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Watford	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Cardiff	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Sheffield United	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Millwall	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Stoke	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	QPR	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Hull	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Birmingham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Reading	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Blackburn	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Blackpool	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Norwich	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Burnley	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	West Brom	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Sunderland	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Middlesbrough	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Rotherham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Luton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Preston	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Wigan	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Bristol City	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Huddersfield	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Swansea	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Blackburn	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Sunderland	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Burnley	2	1	0	1	+0	3
4	Wigan	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Luton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Watford	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Coventry	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	West Brom	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Swansea	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Hull	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Preston	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Birmingham	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Middlesbrough	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Bristol City	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Huddersfield	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Cardiff	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Sheffield United	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	QPR	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Norwich	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Reading	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Millwall	1	0	0	1	-2	0
22	Stoke	1	0	0	1	-2	0
23	Blackpool	1	0	0	1	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.