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Serie A
Referee: M Mariani
Monza
U T S T S
1–2
Full-time
Torino
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Monza Torino
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,0
3,3
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

54% Possession 46%
15 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 7
1 Offside 5
6 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Monza Torino
19′
🟨 Wilfried Singo
36′
🟨 Michel Ndary Adopo
43′
⚽ A. Miranchuk 0–1
A. Sanabria
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 N. Vlašić
↦ A. Miranchuk
Pablo Marí 🟨
61′
A. Carboni 🔁
↦ Carlos Augusto
63′
P. Ciurria 🔁
↦ G. Caprari
63′
Dany Mota 🔁
↦ F. Ranocchia
64′
66′
⚽ A. Sanabria 0–2
S. Ricci
70′
🔁 J. Segre
↦ M. Adopo
S. Sensi 🔁
↦ A. Petagna
76′
C. Gytkjær 🔁
↦ M. Valoti
76′
79′
🔁 V. Lazaro
↦ W. Singo
90′
🔁 E. İlkhan
↦ S. Ricci
1–2 Dany Mota ⚽
94′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Monza

3-5-2
16 M. Di Gregorio G
4 Marlon D
3 Pablo Marí D
30 Carlos Augusto D
19 S. Birindelli M
22 F. Ranocchia M
8 A. Barberis M
10 M. Valoti M
77 M. D'Alessandro M
17 G. Caprari F
37 A. Petagna F
Bench (15)
44 A. Carboni
84 P. Ciurria
47 Dany Mota
12 S. Sensi
9 C. Gytkjær
91 A. Sorrentino
28 A. Colpani
79 S. Molina
80 S. Vignato
89 A. Cragno
38 W. Bondo
5 L. Caldirola
26 V. Antov
34 L. Marrone
13 A. Ranocchia

Coach: G. Stroppa

Torino

3-4-2-1
32 V. Milinković-Savić G
21 M. Adopo D
26 K. Djidji D
13 R. Rodríguez D
17 W. Singo M
77 K. Linetty M
28 S. Ricci M
34 O. Aina M
59 A. Miranchuk F
49 N. Radonjić F
9 A. Sanabria F
Bench (10)
16 N. Vlašić
8 J. Segre
19 V. Lazaro
14 E. İlkhan
89 L. Gemello
33 Sebastian Wade
11 P. Pellegri
1 E. Berisha
36 M. Garbett
2 B. Bayeye

Coach: I. Juric

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,58
🔒
U
3,29
🔒
B ✓
2,84
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,09
🔒
U2,5
1,76
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Mariani · 156 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.