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Bundesliga
Referee: R Hartmann
Werder Bremen
T S S S U
2–2
Full-time
Stuttgart
U U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Werder Bremen Stuttgart
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,7
2,3
Scored
2,5
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,0
This season — Bundesliga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
4,0
2,0
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

57% Possession 43%
5 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 7
0 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 5
6 Free kicks against 10
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Werder Bremen 9. · Stuttgart 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Dortmund 2 2 0 0 +3 6
2 Bayern Munich 1 1 0 0 +5 3
3 Freiburg 2 1 0 1 +2 3
4 FC Koln 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 M'gladbach 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Union Berlin 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Mainz 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Wolfsburg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Werder Bremen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Stuttgart 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 RB Leipzig 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Bochum 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Leverkusen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Schalke 04 1 0 0 1 -2 0
15 Hoffenheim 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 Hertha 1 0 0 1 -2 0
17 Augsburg 1 0 0 1 -4 0
18 Ein Frankfurt 1 0 0 1 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Werder Bremen Stuttgart
1–0 N. Füllkrug
A. Jung
4′
Marco Friedl 🟨
16′
38′
W. Endo 1–1
S. Kalajdzic
Half-time 1–1
N. Stark 🔁
↦ A. Pieper
46′
58′
🔁 B. Sosa
↦ Tiago Tomás
59′
🟨 Saša Kalajdžić
70′
🔁 L. Egloff
↦ C. Führich
70′
🔁 P. Stenzel
↦ J. Vagnoman
Leonardo Bittencourt 🟨
71′
71′
🟨 Hiroki Ito
77′
S. Katompa Mvumpa 1–2
S. Kalajdzic
R. Schmid 🔁
↦ J. Stage
78′
81′
🔁 L. Pfeiffer
↦ S. Kalajdzic
81′
🔁 A. Karazor
↦ S. Katompa Mvumpa
Niklas Stark 🟨
83′
O. Burke 🔁
↦ L. Bittencourt
84′
N. Rapp 🔁
↦ I. Gruev
84′
L. Buchanan 🔁
↦ A. Jung
84′
Marvin Ducksch 🟨
89′
2–2 O. Burke
M. Weiser
95′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Werder Bremen

3-5-2
1 J. Pavlenka G
5 A. Pieper D
13 M. Veljković D
32 M. Friedl D
8 M. Weiser M
10 L. Bittencourt M
28 I. Gruev M
6 J. Stage M
3 A. Jung M
11 N. Füllkrug F
7 M. Ducksch F
Bench (9)
4 N. Stark
20 R. Schmid
9 O. Burke
23 N. Rapp
26 L. Buchanan
27 F. Agu
30 M. Zetterer
22 N. Schmidt
24 B. Goller

Coach: O. Werner

Stuttgart

3-5-2
1 F. Müller G
5 K. Mavropanos D
2 W. Anton D
21 H. Ito D
4 J. Vagnoman M
22 C. Führich M
3 W. Endo M
32 N. Ahamada M
14 S. Katompa Mvumpa M
9 S. Kalajdzic F
10 Tiago Tomás F
Bench (9)
24 B. Sosa
25 L. Egloff
15 P. Stenzel
20 L. Pfeiffer
16 A. Karazor
33 F. Bredlow
6 C. Mola
8 E. Millot
11 J. Perea

Coach: P. Matarazzo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,33
U ✓
3,59
B
2,99
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,67
U2,5
2,24
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Hartmann · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.