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Championship
Referee: M Donohue
Huddersfield
S T T T T
3–1
Full-time
Stoke
T U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Huddersfield Stoke
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,2
1,8
Scored
0,7
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,2
This season — Championship · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
0,5
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

42% Possession 58%
10 Shots 18
5 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Huddersfield 24. · Stoke 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Watford 3 2 1 0 +2 7
2 Blackburn 2 2 0 0 +4 6
3 Cardiff 3 2 0 1 +1 6
4 Sunderland 2 1 1 0 +1 4
5 Hull 2 1 1 0 +1 4
6 Burnley 3 1 1 1 +0 4
7 Birmingham 3 1 1 1 +0 4
8 Sheffield United 2 1 0 1 +1 3
9 QPR 2 1 0 1 +0 3
10 Millwall 2 1 0 1 +0 3
11 Stoke 2 1 0 1 +0 3
12 Reading 2 1 0 1 +0 3
13 Blackpool 2 1 0 1 -1 3
14 West Brom 2 0 2 0 +0 2
15 Wigan 2 0 2 0 +0 2
16 Luton 2 0 2 0 +0 2
17 Preston 2 0 2 0 +0 2
18 Coventry 1 0 1 0 +0 1
19 Rotherham 1 0 1 0 +0 1
20 Middlesbrough 2 0 1 1 -1 1
21 Norwich 2 0 1 1 -1 1
22 Swansea 2 0 1 1 -3 1
23 Bristol City 2 0 0 2 -2 0
24 Huddersfield 2 0 0 2 -2 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Huddersfield Stoke
1–0 Y. Nakayama
S. Thomas
40′
44′
🟨 Jacob Brown
Half-time 1–1
56′
L. Baker 1–1
D. Holmes 🔁
↦ F. Anjorin
64′
2–1 D. Ward
D. Holmes
77′
79′
🟨 Lewis Baker
80′
🔁 S. Clucas
↦ J. Laurent
80′
🔁 T. Campbell
↦ T. Sparrow
J. Rhodes 🔁
↦ D. Ward
83′
E. Camara 🔁
↦ S. Thomas
83′
Lee Nicholls 🟨
85′
3–1 J. Rhodes
D. Holmes
86′
W. Boyle 🔁
↦ K. Kessler
92′
94′
🟨 Connor Taylor
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Huddersfield

3-4-3
21 L. Nicholls G
2 O. Turton D
32 T. Lees D
33 Y. Nakayama D
16 K. Kessler
6 J. Hogg M
22 J. Rudoni M
14 J. Ruffels M
8 F. Anjorin F
25 D. Ward F
7 S. Thomas F
Bench (7)
19 D. Holmes
9 J. Rhodes
24 E. Camara
12 W. Boyle
13 J. Chapman
5 J. Russell
10 J. Koroma

Coach: D. Schofield

Stoke

3-5-2
1 J. Bursik G
32 C. Taylor D
4 A. Flint D
16 B. Wilmot D
39 T. Sparrow M
8 L. Baker M
28 J. Laurent M
18 W. Smallbone M
14 J. Tymon M
11 D. Gayle F
9 J. Brown F
Bench (7)
7 S. Clucas
10 T. Campbell
13 J. Bonham
15 J. Thompson
29 D. Wright-Phillips
22 G. Kilkenny
6 P. Jagielka

Coach: M. O'Neill

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,76
U
3,19
B
2,66
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,27
U2,5
1,63
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Donohue · 188 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.