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Süper Lig
Referee: Y Kol
Besiktas
U S S U T
1–1
Full-time
Hatayspor
S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Besiktas Hatayspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,5
4,3
Scored
1,3
2,5
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,7
This season — Süper Lig · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 45%
41%
48%
Points per game
1,6
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
59%
62%
Both score Ø 56%
59%
52%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
1,5
1,6
Conceded
1,3
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

59% Possession 41%
22 Shots 10
12 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 11
7 Corners 4
2 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Besiktas 8. · Hatayspor 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Trabzonspor 30 21 7 2 +32 70
2 Konyaspor 29 16 7 6 +16 55
3 Fenerbahce 29 14 8 7 +14 50
4 Alanyaspor 30 14 7 9 +8 49
5 Ad. Demirspor 30 13 9 8 +14 48
6 Buyuksehyr 30 14 5 11 +11 47
7 Hatayspor 29 14 4 11 +2 46
8 Besiktas 29 12 9 8 +5 45
9 Karagumruk 30 12 7 11 -7 43
10 Kasimpasa 30 10 8 12 +2 38
11 Galatasaray 29 10 8 11 -3 38
12 Kayserispor 30 10 8 12 -5 38
13 Antalyaspor 29 10 8 11 -5 38
14 Sivasspor 29 9 10 10 +1 37
15 Gaziantep 29 10 7 12 -4 37
16 Giresunspor 29 10 5 14 -2 35
17 Altay 29 8 5 16 -11 29
18 Goztep 30 7 6 17 -14 27
19 Rizespor 30 7 5 18 -26 26
20 Yeni Malatyaspor 30 5 5 20 -28 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Besiktas Hatayspor
1–0 M. Batshuayi
R. Ghezzal
16′
41′
S. Lobzhanidze 1–1
45′
🟨 Ayoub El Kaabi
Half-time 1–1
S. Saatçı 🔁
↦ N. Uysal
46′
Can Bozdoğan 🟨
60′
62′
🟨 Onur Ergun
Alex Teixeira 🔁
↦ G. Yalçın
66′
A. Hutchinson 🔁
↦ C. Bozdoğan
76′
G. Nkoudou 🔁
↦ C. Larin
76′
79′
🔁 D. Saint-Louis
↦ S. Lobzhanidze
91′
🟨 Sam Adekugbe
92′
🔁 B. Yıldırım
↦ A. El Kaabi
97′
🟨 Rúben Ribeiro
97′
🔁 S. Temel
↦ Rúben Ribeiro
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Besiktas

4-2-3-1
61 E. Bilgin G
24 D. Vida D
2 V. Rosier D
3 R. Yılmaz D
5 Josef de Souza M
20 N. Uysal D
18 R. Ghezzal M
12 C. Bozdoğan M
9 M. Batshuayi F
17 C. Larin M
50 G. Yalçın M
Bench (10)
46 S. Saatçı
90 Alex Teixeira
13 A. Hutchinson
7 G. Nkoudou
74 G. Baytekin
11 G. Töre
4 Javi Montero
65 E. İlkhan
37 K. Kalafat
77 U. Meraş

Coach: Ö. Karaveli

Hatayspor

4-2-3-1
1 M. Mohamedi G
12 K. Çörekçi D
23 S. Adekugbe D
53 B. Öksüz D
7 Rúben Ribeiro M
11 S. Lobzhanidze M
5 I. Sackey D
4 O. Ergün M
8 M. Boudjemaa M
92 M. Diouf F
25 A. El Kaabi M
Bench (10)
95 D. Saint-Louis
99 B. Yıldırım
16 S. Temel
6 S. Falette
37 E. Kaplan
31 A. Yiğiter
22 F. Kurucuk
87 E. Fansa
9 Kahraba
76 Y. Benzia

Coach: Ö. Erdoğan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,72
U ✓
3,97
B
4,49
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,63
U2,5 ✓
2,26
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Y Kol · 59 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,37 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.