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Ligue 1

Referee: S Frappart

Troyes

U T T U S

1–0

Full-time

Nantes

T S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Troyes Nantes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,8

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,0

2,3

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

2,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+1,0

This season — Ligue 1 · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 33%

22%

44%

Points per game

0,9

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

41%

37%

Both score Ø 52%

56%

48%

Average goals

2,4

Scored

0,9

1,3

Conceded

1,5

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

44% Possession 56%

11 Shots 6

2 Shots on target 1

3 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

8 Corners 4

3 Offside 1

7 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Troyes 17. · Nantes 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	27	19	5	3	+32	62
2	Nice	28	15	6	7	+17	51
3	Marseille	27	13	8	6	+14	47
4	Rennes	27	14	4	9	+28	46
5	Strasbourg	27	12	8	7	+17	44
6	Lille	28	11	10	7	+2	43
7	Nantes	27	12	6	9	+7	42
8	Lyon	27	11	9	7	+5	42
9	Monaco	27	11	8	8	+11	41
10	Lens	27	11	7	9	+4	40
11	Montpellier	28	11	5	12	+1	38
12	Brest	27	9	8	10	-3	35
13	Reims	27	7	11	9	+0	32
14	Angers	27	7	8	12	-9	29
15	Clermont	27	7	7	13	-19	28
16	St Etienne	28	6	8	14	-22	26
17	Troyes	27	6	7	14	-16	25
18	Lorient	27	5	9	13	-21	24
19	Metz	27	4	10	13	-21	22
20	Bordeaux	27	4	10	13	-27	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	13	12	1	0	+24	37
2	Rennes	14	10	1	3	+24	31
3	Nantes	14	9	2	3	+11	29
4	Lyon	14	7	5	2	+9	26
5	Monaco	14	7	4	3	+13	25
6	Strasbourg	13	7	3	3	+14	24
7	Montpellier	15	7	3	5	+6	24
8	Nice	14	7	3	4	+4	24
9	Lille	14	6	6	2	+3	24
10	Lens	14	6	5	3	+8	23
11	Marseille	14	5	5	4	+6	20
12	Brest	13	5	3	5	+2	18
13	Reims	13	4	5	4	+5	17
14	Angers	13	5	1	7	-2	16
15	Lorient	13	4	4	5	-3	16
16	Clermont	13	3	5	5	-3	14
17	St Etienne	14	3	5	6	-9	14
18	Troyes	13	2	6	5	-2	12
19	Bordeaux	14	2	5	7	-7	11
20	Metz	13	1	5	7	-10	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Nice	14	8	3	3	+13	27
2	Marseille	13	8	3	2	+8	27
3	Paris SG	14	7	4	3	+8	25
4	Strasbourg	14	5	5	4	+3	20
5	Lille	14	5	4	5	-1	19
6	Lens	13	5	2	6	-4	17
7	Brest	14	4	5	5	-5	17
8	Monaco	13	4	4	5	-2	16
9	Lyon	13	4	4	5	-4	16
10	Rennes	13	4	3	6	+4	15
11	Reims	14	3	6	5	-5	15
12	Montpellier	13	4	2	7	-5	14
13	Metz	14	3	5	6	-11	14
14	Clermont	14	4	2	8	-16	14
15	Nantes	13	3	4	6	-4	13
16	Angers	14	2	7	5	-7	13
17	Troyes	14	4	1	9	-14	13
18	St Etienne	14	3	3	8	-13	12
19	Bordeaux	13	2	5	6	-20	11
20	Lorient	14	1	5	8	-18	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.