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Ligue 1

Referee: S Frappart

Montpellier

S T T S T

0–1

Full-time

Lille

S U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Montpellier Lille

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,8

3,2

Scored

2,2

1,3

Conceded

1,7

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,5

This season — Ligue 1 · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 39%

43%

35%

Points per game

1,5

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

52%

57%

Both score Ø 66%

57%

74%

Average goals

3,1

2,9

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

1,4

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%

16 Shots 16

5 Shots on target 7

6 Blocked shots 2

6 Goalkeeper saves 5

6 Corners 4

2 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Montpellier 8. · Lille 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	24	18	5	1	+33	59
2	Nice	23	13	4	6	+17	43
3	Marseille	23	12	7	4	+16	43
4	Strasbourg	23	11	5	7	+16	38
5	Rennes	24	11	4	9	+21	37
6	Monaco	23	10	6	7	+11	36
7	Lyon	23	9	8	6	+1	35
8	Montpellier	23	10	4	9	+5	34
9	Lens	23	9	6	8	+3	33
10	Nantes	23	9	5	9	+2	32
11	Lille	23	8	8	7	-4	32
12	Angers	23	7	8	8	-4	29
13	Brest	23	7	7	9	-7	28
14	Reims	23	6	9	8	+0	27
15	Clermont	23	6	6	11	-16	24
16	Troyes	23	5	6	12	-11	21
17	Lorient	23	4	8	11	-18	20
18	Metz	23	4	8	11	-19	20
19	Bordeaux	23	4	8	11	-24	20
20	St Etienne	23	4	6	13	-22	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	12	11	1	0	+22	34
2	Rennes	12	8	1	3	+19	25
3	Monaco	12	7	3	2	+14	24
4	Strasbourg	12	7	2	3	+14	23
5	Montpellier	12	7	2	3	+9	23
6	Lyon	12	6	5	1	+8	23
7	Marseille	12	5	5	2	+9	20
8	Nantes	11	6	2	3	+6	20
9	Lens	11	5	4	2	+8	19
10	Lille	11	5	4	2	-1	19
11	Nice	12	5	3	4	+2	18
12	Lorient	11	4	4	3	+1	16
13	Angers	11	5	1	5	+0	16
14	Reims	11	4	3	4	+5	15
15	Brest	11	4	3	4	-1	15
16	Clermont	11	3	4	4	-2	13
17	Troyes	12	2	5	5	-2	11
18	Bordeaux	12	2	4	6	-5	10
19	St Etienne	12	2	4	6	-10	10
20	Metz	11	1	4	6	-9	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Nice	11	8	1	2	+15	25
2	Paris SG	12	7	4	1	+11	25
3	Marseille	11	7	2	2	+7	23
4	Strasbourg	11	4	3	4	+2	15
5	Lens	12	4	2	6	-5	14
6	Lille	12	3	4	5	-3	13
7	Angers	12	2	7	3	-4	13
8	Brest	12	3	4	5	-6	13
9	Metz	12	3	4	5	-10	13
10	Rennes	12	3	3	6	+2	12
11	Monaco	11	3	3	5	-3	12
12	Nantes	12	3	3	6	-4	12
13	Reims	12	2	6	4	-5	12
14	Lyon	11	3	3	5	-7	12
15	Montpellier	11	3	2	6	-4	11
16	Clermont	12	3	2	7	-14	11
17	Troyes	11	3	1	7	-9	10
18	Bordeaux	11	2	4	5	-19	10
19	St Etienne	11	2	2	7	-12	8
20	Lorient	12	0	4	8	-19	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.