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Super League
Referee: L Cibelli
St. Gallen
S S U U S
3–2
Full-time
Luzern
U S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gallen Luzern
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,2
Scored
2,5
1,2
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+0,2
This season — Super League · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 25%
35%
15%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
65%
46%
Both score Ø 69%
69%
69%
Average goals
3,5
2,9
Scored
1,7
1,1
Conceded
1,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–2

51% Possession 49%
7 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 4
3 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St. Gallen 6. · Luzern 9. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Zurich 26 18 5 3 +26 59
2 Basel 26 12 11 3 +25 47
3 Young Boys 26 12 9 5 +25 45
4 Lugano 26 13 3 10 +0 42
5 Servette 26 10 5 11 -6 35
6 St. Gallen 26 9 7 10 -2 34
7 Sion 26 8 6 12 -14 30
8 Grasshoppers 26 6 9 11 -2 27
9 Luzern 26 4 10 12 -19 22
10 Lausanne 26 2 7 17 -33 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

24. Oct -21 Luzern – St. Gallen 2–0 1. Aug -21 St. Gallen – Luzern 2–2 17. Apr -21 St. Gallen – Luzern 0–0 7. Mar -21 Luzern – St. Gallen 4–2 17. Feb -21 St. Gallen – Luzern 2–1

Match report

St. Gallen Luzern
6′
⚽ N. Čumić 0–1
F. Ugrinic
9′
⚽ M. Burch 0–2
M. Dräger
1–2 I. Schmidt ⚽
Víctor Ruiz
12′
Lukas Görtler ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
22′
2–2 L. Görtler ⚽
J. von Moos
22′
36′
🟨 Ardon Jashari
3–2 K. Duah ⚽
J. Guillemenot
37′
Half-time 3–2
46′
🔁 S. Sidler
↦ M. Frýdek
46′
🔁 L. Emini
↦ A. Jashari
55′
🟨 Marvin Schulz
B. Toma 🔁
↦ Víctor Ruiz
61′
62′
🔁 C. Gentner
↦ M. Schulz
62′
🔁 D. Sorgić
↦ Asumah Abubakar
F. Schubert 🔁
↦ J. von Moos
70′
A. Jankewitz 🔁
↦ K. Duah
70′
A. Besio 🔁
↦ J. Guillemenot
70′
73′
🟨 Samuele Campo
B. Stillhart 🔁
↦ I. Schmidt
73′
75′
🔁 V. Tasar
↦ N. Čumić
Matej Maglica 🟨
88′
95′
🟨 Marco Burch
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

St. Gallen

4-3-3
1 L. Ati-Zigi G
4 L. Stergiou D
15 Euclides Cabral D
14 M. Maglica D
8 Jordi Quintillà M
16 L. Görtler M
11 K. Duah F
33 I. Schmidt D
10 Víctor Ruiz M
9 J. Guillemenot F
19 J. von Moos F
Bench (9)
72 B. Toma
7 F. Schubert
45 A. Jankewitz
31 A. Besio
6 B. Stillhart
28 C. Lungoyi
30 P. Sutter
25 L. Watkowiak
23 B. Fazliji

Coach: P. Zeidler

Luzern

4-3-1-2
32 M. Müller G
5 D. Simani D
13 M. Frýdek D
2 M. Dräger D
46 M. Burch D
15 M. Schulz M
10 S. Campo M
19 F. Ugrinic M
30 A. Jashari M
20 N. Čumić F
21 Asumah Abubakar F
Bench (9)
34 S. Sidler
31 L. Emini
4 C. Gentner
9 D. Sorgić
16 V. Tasar
90 V. Vasić
7 I. Ndiaye
14 S. Izmirlioglu
17 S. Grether

Coach: M. Frick

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

L Cibelli · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.