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Ligue 2

Ajaccio

S S S T U

1–0

Full-time

Nimes

S T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajaccio Nimes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

1,2

2,8

Scored

0,7

1,0

Conceded

0,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,8

This season — Ligue 2 · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 45%

52%

38%

Points per game

1,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 35%

10%

59%

Both score Ø 33%

14%

52%

Average goals

1,4

2,5

Scored

0,9

1,2

Conceded

0,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

23 Shots 3

9 Shots on target 1

11 Corners 2

10 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ajaccio 4. · Nimes 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Toulouse	30	18	9	3	+43	63
2	Paris FC	29	16	7	6	+16	55
3	Auxerre	30	15	9	6	+14	54
4	Ajaccio	29	15	7	7	+10	52
5	Sochaux	29	13	9	7	+5	48
6	Le Havre	30	10	11	9	-2	41
7	Caen	30	10	9	11	+8	39
8	Nimes	29	11	6	12	-3	39
9	Pau FC	29	11	5	13	-3	38
10	Dijon	29	11	4	14	-3	37
11	Amiens	29	8	12	9	+4	36
12	Bastia	29	8	12	9	+2	36
13	Niort	29	10	6	13	-2	36
14	Guingamp	29	8	12	9	-6	36
15	Valenciennes	29	7	12	10	-9	33
16	Rodez	29	7	11	11	-8	32
17	Grenoble	29	9	5	15	-14	32
18	Quevilly Rouen	29	7	10	12	-14	31
19	Dunkerque	29	8	6	15	-13	30
20	Nancy	29	5	8	16	-25	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Toulouse	15	10	4	1	+32	34
2	Paris FC	14	9	4	1	+14	31
3	Pau FC	15	9	1	5	+8	28
4	Ajaccio	14	8	3	3	+8	27
5	Amiens	15	7	4	4	+13	25
6	Auxerre	15	7	4	4	+10	25
7	Sochaux	14	7	4	3	+4	25
8	Bastia	15	4	11	0	+8	23
9	Dijon	15	7	2	6	+2	23
10	Caen	15	7	1	7	+9	22
11	Niort	14	6	3	5	+5	21
12	Guingamp	14	5	6	3	+2	21
13	Grenoble	14	6	2	6	-1	20
14	Dunkerque	15	5	5	5	-1	20
15	Le Havre	16	5	5	6	-2	20
16	Nimes	15	5	4	6	-1	19
17	Rodez	14	3	7	4	-2	16
18	Quevilly Rouen	14	3	7	4	-4	16
19	Valenciennes	15	4	4	7	-7	16
20	Nancy	14	4	4	6	-7	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Toulouse	15	8	5	2	+11	29
2	Auxerre	15	8	5	2	+4	29
3	Ajaccio	15	7	4	4	+2	25
4	Paris FC	15	7	3	5	+2	24
5	Sochaux	15	6	5	4	+1	23
6	Le Havre	14	5	6	3	+0	21
7	Nimes	14	6	2	6	-2	20
8	Caen	15	3	8	4	-1	17
9	Valenciennes	14	3	8	3	-2	17
10	Rodez	15	4	4	7	-6	16
11	Niort	15	4	3	8	-7	15
12	Guingamp	15	3	6	6	-8	15
13	Quevilly Rouen	15	4	3	8	-10	15
14	Dijon	14	4	2	8	-5	14
15	Bastia	14	4	1	9	-6	13
16	Grenoble	15	3	3	9	-13	12
17	Amiens	14	1	8	5	-9	11
18	Pau FC	14	2	4	8	-11	10
19	Dunkerque	14	3	1	10	-12	10
20	Nancy	15	1	4	10	-18	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.