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Serie A

Referee: D Chiffi

Inter

U T U S U

1–1

Full-time

Fiorentina

S S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Inter Fiorentina

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,2

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,2

This season — Serie A · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 56%

61%

50%

Points per game

2,1

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

57%

68%

Both score Ø 56%

54%

57%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

2,2

1,7

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,4

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%

13 Shots 17

5 Shots on target 4

6 Blocked shots 7

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 3

4 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Inter 3. · Fiorentina 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	30	19	6	5	+31	63
2	Milan	29	19	6	4	+26	63
3	Inter	28	17	8	3	+38	59
4	Juventus	29	16	8	5	+19	56
5	Lazio	29	14	7	8	+16	49
6	Atalanta	28	13	9	6	+19	48
7	Roma	29	14	6	9	+12	48
8	Fiorentina	28	14	4	10	+10	46
9	Sassuolo	30	11	10	9	+6	43
10	Verona	29	11	8	10	+8	41
11	Torino	29	9	8	12	+4	35
12	Bologna	28	9	6	13	-11	33
13	Empoli	29	8	8	13	-14	32
14	Udinese	28	6	12	10	-10	30
15	Spezia	30	8	5	17	-23	29
16	Sampdoria	29	7	5	17	-14	26
17	Cagliari	29	5	10	14	-25	25
18	Genoa	30	2	16	12	-24	22
19	Venezia	28	5	7	16	-27	22
20	Salernitana	27	3	7	17	-41	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	14	10	2	2	+23	32
2	Milan	15	9	3	3	+11	30
3	Fiorentina	14	9	2	3	+16	29
4	Napoli	15	9	2	4	+14	29
5	Lazio	14	8	4	2	+15	28
6	Roma	15	8	4	3	+6	28
7	Juventus	14	8	3	3	+9	27
8	Verona	15	8	2	5	+11	26
9	Torino	15	7	4	4	+11	25
10	Bologna	14	6	3	5	+1	21
11	Sassuolo	15	5	5	5	+0	20
12	Udinese	14	4	7	3	-2	19
13	Atalanta	14	4	6	4	+6	18
14	Spezia	14	4	3	7	-2	15
15	Sampdoria	15	4	3	8	-5	15
16	Cagliari	14	2	6	6	-9	12
17	Genoa	15	1	8	6	-9	11
18	Empoli	14	3	2	9	-15	11
19	Venezia	14	2	4	8	-13	10
20	Salernitana	14	1	5	8	-19	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	15	10	4	1	+17	34
2	Milan	14	10	3	1	+15	33
3	Atalanta	14	9	3	2	+13	30
4	Juventus	15	8	5	2	+10	29
5	Inter	14	7	6	1	+15	27
6	Sassuolo	15	6	5	4	+6	23
7	Lazio	15	6	3	6	+1	21
8	Empoli	15	5	6	4	+1	21
9	Roma	14	6	2	6	+6	20
10	Fiorentina	14	5	2	7	-6	17
11	Verona	14	3	6	5	-3	15
12	Spezia	16	4	2	10	-21	14
13	Cagliari	15	3	4	8	-16	13
14	Bologna	14	3	3	8	-12	12
15	Venezia	14	3	3	8	-14	12
16	Udinese	14	2	5	7	-8	11
17	Sampdoria	14	3	2	9	-9	11
18	Genoa	15	1	8	6	-15	11
19	Torino	14	2	4	8	-7	10
20	Salernitana	13	2	2	9	-22	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.