Ligue 1
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Nantes
Reims
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris SG
|
24 | 18 | 5 | 1 | +33 | 59 |
| 2 |
Marseille
|
23 | 12 | 7 | 4 | +16 | 43 |
| 3 |
Nice
|
24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | +15 | 43 |
| 4 |
Strasbourg
|
23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | +16 | 38 |
| 5 |
Lyon
|
24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | +3 | 38 |
| 6 |
Rennes
|
24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | +21 | 37 |
| 7 |
Monaco
|
24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | +11 | 37 |
| 8 |
Lille
|
24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | -3 | 35 |
| 9 |
Montpellier
|
24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | +4 | 34 |
| 10 |
Lens
|
23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | +3 | 33 |
| 11 |
Nantes
|
23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | +2 | 32 |
| 12 |
Angers
|
23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | -4 | 29 |
| 13 |
Brest
|
23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | -7 | 28 |
| 14 |
Reims
|
23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | +0 | 27 |
| 15 |
Clermont
|
23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | -16 | 24 |
| 16 |
Troyes
|
23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | -11 | 21 |
| 17 |
Lorient
|
24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -18 | 21 |
| 18 |
Metz
|
23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -19 | 20 |
| 19 |
Bordeaux
|
23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -24 | 20 |
| 20 |
St Etienne
|
23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | -22 | 18 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Strasbourg
Nantes
Nantes
Lorient
Nice
Nantes
Nantes
Monaco
St Etienne
Nantes
J Hamel · 72 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.