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Ligue 1

Referee: H Ben El Hadj

Nantes

S T S S U

2–0

Full-time

Montpellier

S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nantes Montpellier

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

1,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,7

This season — Ligue 1 · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 42%

42%

Points per game

1,5

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

38%

50%

Both score Ø 52%

50%

54%

Average goals

2,4

3,0

Scored

1,3

1,6

Conceded

1,1

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

45% Possession 55%

16 Shots 6

5 Shots on target 1

3 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 4

2 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nantes 8. · Montpellier 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	27	19	5	3	+32	62
2	Nice	27	15	5	7	+17	50
3	Marseille	26	13	8	5	+15	47
4	Rennes	26	13	4	9	+26	43
5	Strasbourg	26	12	7	7	+17	43
6	Lyon	27	11	9	7	+5	42
7	Lens	27	11	7	9	+4	40
8	Nantes	26	11	6	9	+5	39
9	Lille	26	10	9	7	-2	39
10	Monaco	26	10	8	8	+10	38
11	Montpellier	26	11	4	11	+3	37
12	Brest	27	9	8	10	-3	35
13	Reims	26	7	10	9	+0	31
14	Angers	26	7	8	11	-7	29
15	Clermont	26	7	7	12	-15	28
16	St Etienne	27	6	7	14	-22	25
17	Lorient	27	5	9	13	-21	24
18	Troyes	26	5	7	14	-18	22
19	Metz	27	4	10	13	-21	22
20	Bordeaux	26	4	10	12	-25	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	13	12	1	0	+24	37
2	Rennes	13	9	1	3	+22	28
3	Lyon	14	7	5	2	+9	26
4	Nantes	13	8	2	3	+9	26
5	Monaco	14	7	4	3	+13	25
6	Strasbourg	13	7	3	3	+14	24
7	Nice	14	7	3	4	+4	24
8	Lens	14	6	5	3	+8	23
9	Montpellier	14	7	2	5	+6	23
10	Marseille	13	5	5	3	+7	20
11	Lille	12	5	5	2	-1	20
12	Brest	13	5	3	5	+2	18
13	Reims	12	4	4	4	+5	16
14	Angers	13	5	1	7	-2	16
15	Lorient	13	4	4	5	-3	16
16	Clermont	13	3	5	5	-3	14
17	St Etienne	14	3	5	6	-9	14
18	Troyes	13	2	6	5	-2	12
19	Bordeaux	13	2	5	6	-5	11
20	Metz	13	1	5	7	-10	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Marseille	13	8	3	2	+8	27
2	Nice	13	8	2	3	+13	26
3	Paris SG	14	7	4	3	+8	25
4	Strasbourg	13	5	4	4	+3	19
5	Lille	14	5	4	5	-1	19
6	Lens	13	5	2	6	-4	17
7	Brest	14	4	5	5	-5	17
8	Lyon	13	4	4	5	-4	16
9	Rennes	13	4	3	6	+4	15
10	Reims	14	3	6	5	-5	15
11	Montpellier	12	4	2	6	-3	14
12	Metz	14	3	5	6	-11	14
13	Clermont	13	4	2	7	-12	14
14	Monaco	12	3	4	5	-3	13
15	Nantes	13	3	4	6	-4	13
16	Angers	13	2	7	4	-5	13
17	St Etienne	13	3	2	8	-13	11
18	Bordeaux	13	2	5	6	-20	11
19	Troyes	13	3	1	9	-16	10
20	Lorient	14	1	5	8	-18	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.