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Ligue 2
Le Havre
T S S T T
2–4
Full-time
Caen
T S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Le Havre Caen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
1,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,0
This season — Ligue 2 · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 33%
34%
31%
Points per game
1,4
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 35%
28%
41%
Both score Ø 41%
34%
48%
Average goals
1,9
2,4
Scored
0,9
1,3
Conceded
0,9
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

13 Shots 14
6 Shots on target 6
7 Corners 4
22 Free kicks against 18
9 Yellow cards 5
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Le Havre 6. · Caen 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Toulouse 29 17 9 3 +42 60
2 Paris FC 29 16 7 6 +16 55
3 Auxerre 29 15 9 5 +15 54
4 Ajaccio 29 15 7 7 +10 52
5 Sochaux 29 13 9 7 +5 48
6 Le Havre 29 10 11 8 +0 41
7 Nimes 29 11 6 12 -3 39
8 Pau FC 29 11 5 13 -3 38
9 Dijon 29 11 4 14 -3 37
10 Caen 29 9 9 11 +6 36
11 Amiens 29 8 12 9 +4 36
12 Bastia 29 8 12 9 +2 36
13 Niort 29 10 6 13 -2 36
14 Guingamp 29 8 12 9 -6 36
15 Valenciennes 29 7 12 10 -9 33
16 Rodez 29 7 11 11 -8 32
17 Grenoble 29 9 5 15 -14 32
18 Quevilly Rouen 29 7 10 12 -14 31
19 Dunkerque 29 8 6 15 -13 30
20 Nancy 29 5 8 16 -25 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,54
U
2,87
B ✓
3,09
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,76
U2,5
1,43
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.