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Ligue 1
Referee: B Dechepy
Monaco
S U S T S
0–0
Full-time
Lorient
U U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Monaco Lorient
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,2
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,8
This season — Ligue 1 · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 30%
43%
17%
Points per game
1,6
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
52%
39%
Both score Ø 53%
48%
57%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,6
0,9
Conceded
1,1
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,8
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

65% Possession 35%
15 Shots 5
4 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
11 Corners 2
2 Offside 0
18 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Monaco 7. · Lorient 17. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 24 18 5 1 +33 59
2 Marseille 23 12 7 4 +16 43
3 Nice 24 13 4 7 +15 43
4 Strasbourg 23 11 5 7 +16 38
5 Lyon 24 10 8 6 +3 38
6 Rennes 24 11 4 9 +21 37
7 Monaco 23 10 6 7 +11 36
8 Lille 24 9 8 7 -3 35
9 Montpellier 24 10 4 10 +4 34
10 Lens 23 9 6 8 +3 33
11 Nantes 23 9 5 9 +2 32
12 Angers 23 7 8 8 -4 29
13 Brest 23 7 7 9 -7 28
14 Reims 23 6 9 8 +0 27
15 Clermont 23 6 6 11 -16 24
16 Troyes 23 5 6 12 -11 21
17 Lorient 23 4 8 11 -18 20
18 Metz 23 4 8 11 -19 20
19 Bordeaux 23 4 8 11 -24 20
20 St Etienne 23 4 6 13 -22 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

13. Aug -21 Lorient – Monaco 1–0 14. Feb -21 Monaco – Lorient 2–2 6. Jan -21 Lorient – Monaco 2–5 22. Jan -17 Monaco – Lorient 4–0 18. Nov -16 Lorient – Monaco 0–3

Match report

Monaco Lorient
37′
🟨 Quentin Boisgard
Caio Henrique 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–0
R. Aguilar 🔁
↦ D. Sidibé
57′
A. Golovin 🔁
↦ K. Volland
57′
Gelson Martins 🔁
↦ Vanderson
57′
60′
🔁 E. Le Fée
↦ T. Moffi
60′
🔁 Dango Ouattara
↦ Q. Boisgard
60′
🔁 I. Koné
↦ S. Soumano
Ruben Aguilar 🟨
73′
M. Akliouche 🔁
↦ S. Diop
78′
81′
🟨 Armand Lauriente
E. Matazo 🔁
↦ Jean Lucas
81′
86′
🔁 Igor Silva
↦ A. Laurienté
Maghnes Akliouche 🟨
89′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Monaco

4-1-4-1
16 A. Nübel G
19 D. Sidibé D
3 G. Maripán D
6 A. Disasi D
12 Caio Henrique D
2 Vanderson M
8 A. Tchouaméni M
11 Jean Lucas M
37 S. Diop M
31 K. Volland M
10 W. Ben Yedder F
Bench (9)
26 R. Aguilar
17 A. Golovin
7 Gelson Martins
33 M. Akliouche
36 E. Matazo
30 V. Mannone
14 I. Jakobs
22 Y. Fofana
34 C. Matsima

Coach: P. Clement

Lorient

4-1-4-1
1 M. Dreyer G
25 V. Le Goff D
15 J. Laporte D
19 L. Pétrot D
17 H. Mendes D
23 T. Monconduit M
8 B. Innocent M
11 Q. Boisgard M
28 A. Laurienté M
13 T. Moffi M
22 S. Soumano F
Bench (9)
10 E. Le Fée
38 Dango Ouattara
9 I. Koné
2 Igor Silva
34 B. Mouazan
14 J. Hergault
33 A. Meité
30 P. Nardi
20 S. Loric

Coach: C. Pélissier

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,39
🔒
U ✓
4,78
🔒
B
8,09
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
1,82
🔒
U2,5 ✓
2,00
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

B Dechepy · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.