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Ligue 1

Referee: J Pignard

Montpellier

S S S T T

3–2

Full-time

Monaco

S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Montpellier Monaco

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,0

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,2

2,8

Scored

2,2

Conceded

1,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+1,5

This season — Ligue 1 · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 43%

43%

Points per game

1,5

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

48%

52%

Both score Ø 50%

52%

48%

Average goals

3,0

2,7

Scored

1,6

Conceded

1,3

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

39% Possession 61%

15 Shots 17

7 Shots on target 7

4 Blocked shots 4

5 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 10

1 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Montpellier 11. · Monaco 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	21	15	5	1	+24	50
2	Nice	22	13	4	5	+18	43
3	Marseille	21	11	7	3	+14	40
4	Strasbourg	22	10	5	7	+15	35
5	Rennes	22	10	4	8	+20	34
6	Monaco	21	9	6	6	+10	33
7	Lens	22	9	6	7	+5	33
8	Nantes	22	9	5	8	+3	32
9	Lyon	21	8	8	5	+2	32
10	Lille	22	8	8	6	+0	32
11	Montpellier	21	9	4	8	+6	31
12	Angers	21	7	8	6	+0	29
13	Brest	22	7	7	8	-5	28
14	Reims	21	5	9	7	-1	24
15	Clermont	22	5	6	11	-17	21
16	Troyes	22	5	5	12	-11	20
17	Bordeaux	22	4	8	10	-19	20
18	Metz	22	4	7	11	-19	19
19	Lorient	22	3	8	11	-20	17
20	St Etienne	21	2	6	13	-25	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	10	9	1	0	+17	28
2	Rennes	11	7	1	3	+17	22
3	Monaco	11	6	3	2	+12	21
4	Strasbourg	11	6	2	3	+13	20
5	Montpellier	11	6	2	3	+8	20
6	Lyon	11	5	5	1	+7	20
7	Nantes	11	6	2	3	+6	20
8	Lens	11	5	4	2	+8	19
9	Lille	10	5	4	1	+3	19
10	Nice	11	5	3	3	+3	18
11	Marseille	11	4	5	2	+6	17
12	Angers	10	5	1	4	+1	16
13	Brest	11	4	3	4	-1	15
14	Lorient	10	3	4	3	-1	13
15	Clermont	11	3	4	4	-2	13
16	Reims	10	3	3	4	+0	12
17	Troyes	11	2	4	5	-2	10
18	Bordeaux	12	2	4	6	-5	10
19	Metz	11	1	4	6	-9	7
20	St Etienne	11	1	4	6	-12	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Nice	11	8	1	2	+15	25
2	Marseille	10	7	2	1	+8	23
3	Paris SG	11	6	4	1	+7	22
4	Strasbourg	11	4	3	4	+2	15
5	Lens	11	4	2	5	-3	14
6	Angers	11	2	7	2	-1	13
7	Lille	12	3	4	5	-3	13
8	Brest	11	3	4	4	-4	13
9	Rennes	11	3	3	5	+3	12
10	Reims	11	2	6	3	-1	12
11	Monaco	10	3	3	4	-2	12
12	Nantes	11	3	3	5	-3	12
13	Lyon	10	3	3	4	-5	12
14	Metz	11	3	3	5	-10	12
15	Montpellier	10	3	2	5	-2	11
16	Troyes	11	3	1	7	-9	10
17	Bordeaux	10	2	4	4	-14	10
18	Clermont	11	2	2	7	-15	8
19	St Etienne	10	1	2	7	-13	5
20	Lorient	12	0	4	8	-19	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.