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Ligue 1
Referee: C Turpin
Monaco
T U T S S
3–2
Full-time
Paris SG
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Monaco Paris SG
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
1,7
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,3
3,8
Scored
1,8
3,7
Conceded
1,5
0,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+3,5
This season — Ligue 1 · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 65%
50%
80%
Points per game
1,7
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
70%
60%
Both score Ø 40%
70%
10%
Average goals
3,1
2,9
Scored
1,7
2,6
Conceded
1,4
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+2,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

52% Possession 48%
15 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 1
0 Offside 4
12 Free kicks against 19
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Monaco 6. · Paris SG 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 10 8 0 2 +23 24
2 Lille 10 5 4 1 +10 19
3 Marseille 9 5 3 1 +4 18
4 Rennes 11 5 3 3 +3 18
5 Lyon 10 4 5 1 +7 17
6 Monaco 10 5 2 3 +3 17
7 Montpellier 10 5 2 3 +3 17
8 Nice 10 5 2 3 +3 17
9 Angers 10 5 1 4 -5 16
10 Metz 10 4 3 3 +3 15
11 Bordeaux 11 4 3 4 -1 15
12 Lens 8 4 2 2 +0 14
13 Brest 10 4 0 6 -7 12
14 Nantes 9 3 2 4 -2 11
15 St Etienne 10 3 1 6 -5 10
16 Reims 10 2 3 5 -2 9
17 Lorient 10 2 2 6 -5 8
18 Nimes 10 2 2 6 -9 8
19 Strasbourg 10 2 0 8 -9 6
20 Dijon 10 0 4 6 -14 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
5,28
U
4,89
B
1,53
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,38
U2,5
3,03
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

C Turpin · 184 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.