Ligue 1
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Amiens
Rennes
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris SG
|
28 | 24 | 2 | 2 | +67 | 74 |
| 2 |
Monaco
|
28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | +39 | 60 |
| 3 |
Marseille
|
27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | +24 | 55 |
| 4 |
Lyon
|
27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | +24 | 50 |
| 5 |
Montpellier
|
27 | 9 | 12 | 6 | +3 | 39 |
| 6 |
Nantes
|
27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | -1 | 39 |
| 7 |
Nice
|
28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 39 |
| 8 |
Rennes
|
27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | -1 | 38 |
| 9 |
Bordeaux
|
28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | -4 | 36 |
| 10 |
Guingamp
|
27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | -7 | 35 |
| 11 |
Dijon
|
27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | -14 | 35 |
| 12 |
St Etienne
|
27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | -13 | 34 |
| 13 |
Caen
|
27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | -12 | 32 |
| 14 |
Strasbourg
|
27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | -15 | 31 |
| 15 |
Amiens
|
27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | -7 | 29 |
| 16 |
Angers
|
27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | -11 | 28 |
| 17 |
Toulouse
|
27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | -11 | 28 |
| 18 |
Troyes
|
28 | 8 | 4 | 16 | -14 | 28 |
| 19 |
Lille
|
28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | -18 | 27 |
| 20 |
Metz
|
27 | 5 | 4 | 18 | -24 | 19 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
R. Gurtner
G
Coach: C. Pélissier
H. Traoré
D
J. Gelin
D
R. Bensebaini
D
B. André
M
A. Hunou
M
Coach: S. Lamouchi
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Nantes
Amiens
Amiens
Toulouse
Bordeaux
Amiens
Amiens
St Etienne
Angers
Amiens
Nicolas Rainville · 47 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.